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James Picerno

  • Analysis & Opinion

James Picerno's Opinion & Analysis
A complete archive of James Picerno's articles, including current analysis & opinion.

Economists are expecting another decline in today’s June report on US personal income. That’s worrisome because this key indicator has been a relative laggard vs. the strong rebounds in...
The rout in China equities accelerated in recent weeks amid Beijing’s increasingly aggressive regulatory crackdown on its domestic businesses. The market bounced in Thursday’s trading...
Equal weighting has its advantages—and disadvantages. Whether you should use this model-free, perfectly unbiased approach to portfolio design is debatable. But in the realm of benchmarking,...
Tomorrow’s release of second-quarter US economic data from the government is expected to show output grew at a stronger rate over Q1’s robust gain, based on a set of nowcasts. In line with...
Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) cut its forecast for US economic growth in this year’s second half, citing slower activity in the services sector and the potential headwind from the spread of the...
American shares recovered with a strong gain for the trading week through Friday, July 23, posting the highest increase for the major asset classes, based on a set of exchange traded funds. Vanguard...
Our trio of proprietary strategies continued to trail their common benchmark last week (through Friday, July 23). The gap ranged from slight to substantial. The best performer among the active...
The juggernaut continued Once again it looked like American shares had met their match, but the latest selloff turned out to be one more brief correction before buyers stepped in and drove prices...
Earlier this month I outlined a model for estimating the US stock market’s return in the decade ahead. The post is part of a larger goal is to develop several models and use the average as more...
In case you took a day off yesterday, there’s a new narrative circulating that inflation anxiety is history and worries about slowing economic growth have moved to the fore. Maybe, but...