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EUR/USD Edges Lower as Investors Brace for Central Banks

Published 01/30/2023, 04:08 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:32 AM

The EUR/USD pair ended Monday slightly lower after opening the week on a solid note and briefly rising above the 1.0900 level.

Most crosses in the FX market remain trading within narrow ranges as investors take the sidelines ahead of top-tier events this week, including Federal Reserve and European Central Bank (ECB) meetings and the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report.

At the time of writing, the EUR/USD pair is trading at the 1.0850 area, 0.17% below its opening price, having retreated from a daily high of 1.0913.

Data released on Monday showed that the German economy grew at an annualized pace of 1.1% in the last quarter of 2022, missing expectations of 1.3%.

At the same time, inflation came in higher than expected in Spain, with the Harmonized Consumer Price Index growing by 5.8% in the 12 months to January, according to the preliminary reading, above the 4.8% expected and above the 4.7% December rate.

This is the first increase in the Spanish inflation rate since July. Price pressures continue to fuel expectations that the ECB will proceed with a 50 bp rate hike on Thursday, as widely expected.

EUR/USD Daily Chart

From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD holds a positive short-term bias according to the daily chart, despite signs of losing momentum over the last several sessions.

The pair is still trading close to multi-month highs and above its main moving averages, with pullbacks being viewed as corrective.

On the upside, the following resistance levels are seen at the nine-month peak high of 1.0929, followed by the 1.1000 psychological area.

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On the other hand, the immediate support level stands at 1.0839, Monday’s low, followed by the 1.0800 mark, and the 20-day SMA at 1.0780.

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