Bonds Analysis & Opinion

The U.S. 30-Year Treasury auction today is likely to price the bonds around 2.50%. During the auction on November 13, 2014, the yield was 3.09%. The price of these bonds is up roughly 10% since then. ...

As stocks hit a fresh record high relative to bond yields -- measured by the S&P 500/U.S. 10-Year yield ratio at 1081--the contrast between these two markets becomes palpable and the remaining...

What if the Fed doesn’t raise rates at all this year? There’s certainly a good amount of volatility possible with the ECB meeting Jan 22, the Greek election Jan 25, and the FOMC...

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators decreased their bearish bets last week10 Year Treasuries: Large U.S. 10-Year note futures traders...

U.S. 30-Year yields could be at a triple bottom and the 10-year yield could be making a bullish inverse head-and-shoulders pattern creating bullish wicks at the right shoulder. Seem unlikely? I get...

Global government bond yields tumbled to fresh lows on Tuesday as deflation fears boosted demand for haven assets.The yield on the U.S. 10-Year Treasury note fell below 2% for the first time since...

Call this the market that simply will not die. As mentioned in some previous posts, just about the time one thinks that this market is finally ready to turn lower, marking the onset of the end of the...

In the eurozone, manufacturing PMI reports last week were for the most part disappointing, as Italian manufacturing contraction unexpectedly accelerated (PMI ), while the French manufacturing sector...

The German 10-Year bond is marking new all-time highs. The yield is down to a historic low of 0,60% as dovish ECB rhetoric on interest rates and slow economic growth in the Eurozone area create...

Recently I've written about the head-scratching, never-ending, multi-decade decline in long-term interest rates (see chart below). Who cares? Well, just about anybody if you bear in mind the way...

Taxable fixed-income markets continued to perform well for the last quarter of 2014. If one thing remained consistent throughout the year, it was the duration of the unexpected fixed-income rallies....

Is it possible for short-term interest rates to double in a couple of months? Well they have. Going back to last week, Joe Friday shared that interest rates could rise sharply, as the U.S. 10-Year...

In the interest of alliteration, I bought a buttload of bonds earlier today and I intend to hang on to them. Bonds have had an amazing year, and I have long held that interest rates are heading much...

U.S. 10-Year T-Note rates have reached the point in their almost 3-decade price channel (gray on chart) where they have to be at least half way through a long-term bottoming formation.The formation...