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The big question facing the Fed is whether they should increase the Fed Funds rate by 25bps or 50bps on March 22, 2023. If Jerome Powell cared for our advice, we would tell him to take the opposite...
Chair Powell has sent a clear message: the Fed is back in the driving seat. At a very minimum, the Fed has given itself the option to deliver a 50bp hike from the March meeting. It's now discounted...
The United States 5-Year Treasury yield jumped 27 bp’s last week, from 3.66% the prior week to close, to 3.93% at this Friday’s close. The interesting thing: the first week of January ’23, the 5-year...
Usually with US auctions this strong, we're in the midst of a bond market rally with considerable room for more. But the downside moves have been tame in fact, despite the recession talk to boot. We...
This week won’t have Fed speakers as they enter the blackout period ahead of their February 1 rate announcement. That will leave us with a somewhat slow week, with economic data and bond...
Gold prices took a breather on Wednesday following a sharp rally the previous day, as the dollar recovered modestly across the board despite the pullback seen in U.S. yields. At the time of writing,...
The recent rise in real yields for inflation-indexed Treasuries (TIPS) looks compelling for locking in relatively attractive payout rates, but the usual risks with bonds still applies. That inspires...
It's quite the sell-down in the US dollar today, with the greenback lower by 1% and down against all major currencies. While the SEK has worked best on a percentage basis, it’s the GBP/USD that has...
After much anticipation, Liz Truss leaves Downing Street after 44 days on the job, and the process of finding a new PM kicks in – 100 Tory MP nominations are needed (out of a possible 357) , and that...
Investors watch CNBC and CNBC’s competitors for guidance on where the markets are going. CNBC may provide insightful commentary from very qualified investors. Still, if one is watching CNBC to...
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