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India 10-Year Bond Yield

NSE
Currency in INR
Disclaimer
7.189
-0.015(-0.21%)
Closed

India 10-Year Discussions

what is India govt bond 20 y CODE LDBIMKIN 20 Y
India 10 year will hit 8% by December
The break below 7% on 10-year 2033 is likely to be sustained despie any temporary firming up of dollar yields. 6.80-7.15 ahould hold all volatility for the next few weeks
breakout of 7.10 and started moving on higer side it might be short term movement... it may end up below 7... wait
breakout of 7.10 and started moving on higer side it might be short term movement... it may end up below 7... wait
The current 10 year yield seems to have priced in an hike of repo rate of 5.2% during this fiscal.
good chance for long term bond holders to exit today. trajectory of rates is up and 10 year yield will gradually move above 7.5% now in 5 quarters.
this will crash market
should hold these levels ahead of MPC outcome..
maybe but heading towards 6.9% by April and 7.3% in the next 12 months.
bond party is now officially over. best exit early Jan. 2nd best exitv about 3 weeks ago. now long term gilts are hot potatoes. will stay away at least 18 months as 7.3% min expected if not higher on 10 yr GOI.
just reading between the lines of RBI policy announcement. expect a starkly different policy 2 policy meetings later.
all long term yields are tentative right now. especially with FM promising a once in a century budget which is widely expected to increase govt spending, hike fiscal deficit targets in the medium term, yields are likely to spike today or Monday after d announcement. especially since yields have stubbornly refused to go lower despite lower food inflation cooling means other macro economic headwinds will affect yields immediately on the upside. shorter end of the curve will protect bond portfolios in the near future.
nice
what do you think rbi policy would be?
my guess is RBI will support to the bond markets but the bond markets will not be satisfied especially in light of record borrowings. interest rate cycle has bottomed out so yields will vd choppy. another 15 basis points hike in yields is my expectation by early next week. meaningful measures by RBI may come in next policy meet only.
Buy TATACOFFEE at 108-110 target 120-130
food inflation to that was stubborn is cooling off. with winter setting in vegetables and fruits already much cheaper. next policy i.e. Feb 2021 we can expect 25 to 35 bps cut at least
Yes,,I also think some rate cut is on hold.. Because unless this the yield might have moved more due to higher CPI and WPI
to understand food inflation all we have to do is check prices of veggies fruits in our daily lives. winter always reduces CPI and that's played out. inflation will reduce further till Feb at least so rate cut of 35 bps is expected by Feb latest. 10 yr can trend lower till 5.70 by then.
do you think bond yield increses in coming future? please suggest
despite higher inflation for successive months now, yields continue to trend low. seems like market has reconciled to the fact that inflation is a temporary number and will stabilize by Jan/Feb, and yields will trend lower due to continued loose monetary policy globally.
2 events today that will influence spike in yields ... stimulus announcement and CPI data. CPI already projected 2 be at 7% way above RBI comfort zone. will 10 yr yield breach 6.2% this month?
between now and Monday 10 yr yield heading above 6 %. trigger events this Friday.
CPI numbers released way past market hours. 7.34% much higher than expected 6.88%. sharp reaction likely in bond markets tomorrow.
RBI has been accommodative for debt markets, debt markets cheered today but it seems all the positives are priced in 4 the short term. 10 yr yield will most likely inch higher next and stay in a range of 5.85 to 6.15. any major rally in yields only if disinvestment and tax collections improve.
huge supply from rbi and instance also accommodative. That's can help the yield to move towards 5.80 in near term.
it’s been a 300 bps + rally over the last 3-4 years. Most of the gains are already made in my opinion, risk reward on the long end of the curve is not favourable. A 10-15 bps rally wont really move the needle, no point getting in now.
now today it touched 5.79 approx. I know big rally is almost came. But we can stay invested with our financial need.
huge supply from rbi and instance also accommodative. That's can help the yield to move towards 5.80 in near term.
RBI back in OMO. yields will now cool 20 basis points in a couple of weeks.
inflation has cooled off a bit and will head further south as supply chain improves with open in of d economy. expect yields to return to near term lows before Diwali.
RBI will not let yields rise..
It will shot up to 6.2 today ,, eventually towards 6.4-6.6
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