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Euro Bund Futures - Jun 24 (FGBLM4)

Real-time capital.com
Currency in EUR
Disclaimer
130.47
+0.77(+0.59%)
Real-time Data

Euro Bund Futures Discussions

Bearish outlook for Bunds this year, shorting  anything above 159 now as Bunds are overpriced compared to T-notes.  I might be totally wrong but this morning my account is increasing.
Ahhh an actual down day!! Very very well done Roelant. Hope you caught the whole move!!
The spread between 10 Y US and German Yield does not narrow but the opposite. It is now at > 240 b.p.
Thanks! I did have some successes shorting the Bund but overall it's been a bit exhausting. Currently back long in coffee and NQ after successful oil short yesterday.
Looking like a bull flag that started 28 March. Rectangle that slopes down a little. This will go up if stock indexes drop. But at same later stage Debt will drop as well because it is overpriced and inflation is higher in reality. Staying out of shorts for a while.
La realidad de los mercados de Bonos es que pese a que estamos oyendo que los tipos van a subir, seguro -no me cabe duda-, pero cuando? Porque el Bund por ejemplo está en la realidad de los mercados de Bonos, ¿por qué estamos aquí oyendo que los tipos van a subir, seguro -no me cabe duda-, pero cuando? Porque el BUND por ejemplo está contando con los ROLOS de cada VENCIMIENTO en que estamos a 1,5 FIGURAS DEL MÁXIMO HISTORICO QUE FUE 168,19 .... . Obviamente que hay mas recorrido hacia abajo que hacia arriba, salvo hundimiento de la RENTA VARIABLE USA A LA QUE SEGUIRIAN EL RESTO DE BOLSAS.o los ROLOS de cada VENCIMIENTO es que estamos a 1,5 FIGURAS DEL MAXIMO HISTORICO QUE FUE 168,19 ..... Obviamente que hay mas recorrido hacia abajo que hacia arriba, salvo hundimiento de la RENTA VARIABLE USA A LA QUE SEGUIRIAN EL RESTO DE BOLSAS .......
Well, might get the meltdown in equities after all, that would be marvelous for bears later, staying flat until that risk deminishes or happened.
"I am a bond. But I do not yield"
Restarted short because FED is into Quantitative Tightening and ECB and BOJ will have to follow at some stage away from QE even if they do not like it. US still trend setter.
another chance nearing, 160 would be nice, waiting for contract renewal
Got several: TP1: 157.30 TP2: 155 TP3 148.30
risk here is a meltdown of equities and a run to "safety" so I'll bail if needed
No "safety" run on "Trump Crash". Started shorting @160
Government debt is replacing money now. Negative real interest rates. Inflation is higher than publicized. Interest rate policy is dicatting the world. Pure tiranny.
still, below 160.30 would warn me for a 160 break coming
Interesting if we drop through horizontal strong support of 160. Friday getting ready to smash on Monday? Double short position for medium term.
Be careful on the old double short... Short bonds trades are called widowmakers for a reason haha
Well spotted. It's been like that for how many years? Whole social housing corporations in Netherlands blown up by interest derivatives trading. Not many bond bears alive I would think.
Think we can try and sell a little here with a pretty tight stop, selling flows are on US 10 yrs last night and this morning
Stopped out, what a waste
So, there you all have it, took a trade, got stopped on the high, and watched it come back down to my entry point. Shows my intelligence doesn't it
Mr Draghi
Does any body know why yesterday's 10Y german yield increase (from 0.52% to 0.58%) meant no movement (drop in this case) in the bund derivative?. . Thank you in advance for your help
Doesnt look like this can continue lower, I covered shorts today. Have another look around 162.40
Finally. Waiting for year/month now it is time to prepare shorting Bunds. During this week I have seen at least 3 big shortsignals and only a weekly close above 162,75 will cancel my opinion.
Oh that's it, 50% retracement from thids morning's dip. Restart short position.
still hard times for bears, at 162,90 I woulkd say "dead cat bounce" but better keep my mouth shut.....
Short this now.
Long this right now, moonshot asap!
Jeffery, you mean to go short or long? Don t understand
My god this is gonna go down atleast -1,5 % today. Remember this date. The german bund was last weekly candle for sure the highest of whole 2017, same with american T-note  10y and 30y. Best time to short is now bros.
Luckely I'm not short this market, however, jesus christ this is a big beast! Nice bull today!
This is not a free market anymore. This is also not insanity. This is well planned and executed with evil precision. A whole generation left with no rent. A period of hyper inflation just around the corner about to drag Europe down for good. This is world war three in the making. Just so we get right to the point : Do NOT expect this to end soon. More precisely : Those who bought equities a long time ago, those are selling now to the sheep, and to the pension funds, for that matter. As soon as distribution is over, commodities will skyrocket. And finally, when the last short in the BUND is ********ed dry, then, and only then, will this thing go into free fall.  But I guess, at that point in time, it will not matter anymore. Happy trading ...
I'd like Donald Trump out of office he's a too big risk for BUND bears....
Are you being funny and implying I am blaming the market for my trade that turned into a loss? I know my last comments has a lot of stupid in them, but still, there are some substance and not just angry rants about what I said. I am far away from being a profitable trader, and basically I'm a clown, and I'm not claiming anything else. However, there are very susceptible movements lifted by the same banks who issue knockout-warrants.  If you don't believe me then you should take a little visit to some investigations published by different world-wide market-surveillance-agencies, and read judgements from courts against big banks in context of market manipulation. etc etc   :)    but whatever, humor is fun right? ^^
 , no no fun intendet, 100% serious, most fundamentals for a gradual increase of rates in place but DT has alone in the last 3 weeks at least 4 potential major catastrophes on the making ,if *he walks the talk*, and believe me that havens could trigger a dramatic fly to the moon and beyond that we haven’t seen since Lehman if any of those goes wrong.. A flight to safety would certainly push demand for treasuries and bunds.
Short at 164,4. If dax goes up and beyond 12200, the bund will probably see 160. However, the more dax shows itself range with uncertainty and weakness, I see the bund rally.....
 Hi I'am in short from 164,5 so no too good entry, but my SL was good till now 164,9 (it was pretty hot yesterday). I use knockout-warrant, but the cfd would be better. Look at this chart, I think this was a hard resistance at 164,9 so i think short is better now.
 Hi,   Yes, I cannot believe my eyes to see the bund so perfectly technical school-book-price movements, however, it is easy to notice a squeeze. Look at the italian bund, the euro bund BTP, it has fallen quiite "a lot", and the german bund should've followed. However.....the german bund has almost 0 short-investors, so its truly a buy and hold-paper. I can recommend the article: search on google with this:   the-german-bond-market-is-all-about-buy-and-hold + ftalphaville , since I cannot post links here in the comments.            I agree that short is better "now" than before, since it has broken up from the 2 days of ranging channels and should naturally perhaps squeeze little more to 165, but then fall..         Can you write the isin of which knockout-warrant you are using?  or write the emittent of those. Best regards
Beautiful chart. thanks
another try short @ 164,54
163.10 worth a short I think
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