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Oil gains on OPEC+ deal, stocks stymied by pandemic worries

Stock MarketsApr 13, 2020 02:55AM ET
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© Reuters. Pedestrian wearing a face mask walks near an overpass with an electronic board showing stock information in Shanghai

By Hideyuki Sano and Anshuman Daga

TOKYO/SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Global equities weakened on Monday as investors braced for more indications of economic damage from the coronavirus pandemic while oil prices rose in choppy trade following a landmark deal by OPEC and its allies to cut output.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures (CLc1) were up 3.9% at $23.6 per barrel in a volatile session, having fallen more than 3% to $22.03 earlier in the day.

Those moves came after a group of oil producing countries known as OPEC+, which includes Russia, agreed to reduce production by 9.7 million barrels per day (bpd) for May-June, after four days of marathon talks.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (MIAPJ0000PUS) lost 0.3%. The Nikkei (N225) fell 1.9%, South Korean shares (KS11) dropped 1.3% while China's CSI300 index (CSI300) lost 0.5%.

"The combined OPEC+ and G-20 cuts should set in place a bottoming process for oil prices and significantly limit the tail risk of free-falling into the single digits in our view," Bank of Singapore, the private banking arm of OCBC, said in a report.

International benchmark Brent futures (LCOc1) rose 2.7% to $32.65 per barrel but were trading below the day's highs.

Oil prices have slumped more than 50% from their January peak as the novel coronavirus pandemic brought the global economy to a standstill and hit fuel demand.

Investors are now looking to see if the novel coronavirus pandemic, which has battered global economic growth, will soon peak in the United States and Europe, as had been initially expected.

"While panic selling we saw last month has faded, not many investors would want to chase stock prices higher given we are about to see more evidence of economic downturns," said Masahiro Ichikawa, senior strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management.

U.S. S&P 500 mini futures dropped 1.4%, erasing a brief gain to a one-month high hit earlier in the Asian session. Financial markets in Australia, New Zealand and Hong Kong were closed for a public holiday on Monday as are European markets such as Britain, Germany and France.

Asia's main ex-Japan stocks gauge is up 18% from a four-year low struck around mid-March following unprecedented global stimulus. But the index is off about 18% so far this year as investors are unconvinced that the worst is over for the markets.

Earnings scorecards from U.S. companies are in focus this week, with banks among the first to report, while China releases its trade data on Tuesday and closely watched gross domestic product figures on Friday.

Companies are only now adjusting their behaviour to deal with an expected global recession, which the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said will be "way worse" than the global financial crisis a decade ago.

Kia Motors Corp (KS:000270) told its labour union in South Korea that it wants to suspend operations at three of its domestic factories as the outbreak weighs on exports to Europe and the United States.

In foreign exchange markets, commodity currencies were softer while the safe-haven yen strengthened.

The Australian dollar fell 0.2% to $0.63337 . The euro stood steady at $1.0937 (EUR=) and the yen gained 0.5% to 107.91 to the dollar .

Oil gains on OPEC+ deal, stocks stymied by pandemic worries
 

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Comments (5)
Idar Polden
Idar Polden Apr 13, 2020 4:44AM ET
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the banks in US is going to takeover the US oil producers and keep pumping with FED money.
TeaMaker Tex
TeaMaker Tex Apr 13, 2020 1:25AM ET
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Dollar to drop. Bigger demand for commodities. China.
perplexed76 .
perplexed76 . Apr 13, 2020 1:25AM ET
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china to pay for chinese virus
Canis Lupus
Canis_lupus Apr 13, 2020 12:28AM ET
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There are only 2 ways this goes back to the lows: 1) There is a resurgence of the virus that keeps us in lockdown longer. From the looks of China and South Korea, that's unlikely to happen. 2) We get closer to the 4th quarter and we still are still struggling to grow. The data will be ignored for the next 2 quarters. We just reported almost 16 million jobless claimed in 2 weeks and the market said, "yawn, wake me in the 4th quarter". So, we at least grind higher for 6 months or so. However, if any economic data comes in anything better than expected, we fly. At some point we will only get 3.8 million jobless claimed when the expectation is 4, then we will open at limit up.
Canis Lupus
Canis_lupus Apr 13, 2020 12:28AM ET
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Well, I said that number 1 was unlikely to happen and then I just read that the infection rate in China is creeping higher again. Probably not enough for the market to notice yet, but something to watch.
Gary McFarlane
Gary McFarlane Apr 13, 2020 12:28AM ET
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Need some historical perspective here, and understaning od the pandemic. Bear markets always have rallies. Two, with no vaccine for 12-18months consumer behaviour changes in a bad way. Lots of shops reopening in China but footfall still down by 30-70%. Retail investors will get burnt. The smart money waits.
Ollie North
Ollie North Apr 12, 2020 11:11PM ET
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That is, in the coming months - not all this week.
Ollie North
Ollie North Apr 12, 2020 11:11PM ET
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A BIG DIVE is coming this week for North American stock markets...........fasten you seat belts. IMF reporting global economy is in worst shape SINCE GREAT DEPRESSION !!    Look for 20+ % correction from current levels for  Dow, Nasd, S & P 500 and Canada's TSX.
Edward Chong
Edward Chong Apr 12, 2020 11:11PM ET
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it will correct 2% i m sure. 20% i think u are living in wonderland like alice.
jonathan seagull
jonathan seagull Apr 12, 2020 11:11PM ET
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Likewise, Fed is taking unprecedent counter punch in the most gogantic scale in human history. Im mot saying it is right or wrong; im just saying that the defense is also incredulously strong.
tom Hill
tom Hill Apr 12, 2020 11:11PM ET
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Dive will happen... all you pie in sky puppets...will be pretty bad shape... how blind can one man be?Have you not noticed 3 billion people not working!! HELLO GET SOME REALITY IN YOUR CERAL!
tom Hill
tom Hill Apr 12, 2020 11:11PM ET
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look around... see the world the majority lives in..economies are based on supply and demand...place 3 billion people on hold..and you can't see It?
 
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