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Northland cuts Sunnova target to $9 on Q4 revenue miss

EditorRachael Rajan
Published 02/23/2024, 09:24 AM
Updated 02/23/2024, 09:24 AM
© Reuters.

On Friday, Sunnova Energy International Inc . (NYSE:NOVA) experienced a shift in stock rating and price target as Northland Capital Markets adjusted its outlook on the company. The firm downgraded Sunnova from "Outperform" to "Market Perform," also reducing the price target to $9.00 from the previous $12.00.

"NOVA posted a Q4 miss most evident in revenue, but there were other challenges as well," said the analyst.

Despite a strong showing in adjusted EBITDA, this result was primarily due to a significant one-time benefit from the sales of accumulated Investment Tax Credits (ITCs) amounting to $193 million. This figure starkly contrasts with the anticipated quarterly run rate of $30-40 million in ITC sales moving forward.

Sunnova, a residential solar and energy storage service provider, did see substantial growth in its customer base, with a 50% increase in cumulative customers during 2023. The company also confirmed its target for a further 45% growth in 2024. This customer expansion is a notable positive for the company's outlook.

However, the firm's decision to downgrade the stock was influenced by concerns over an increasing customer termination rate. This factor contributed to the more cautious stance taken by Northland Capital Markets toward Sunnova's future financial performance and market position.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of the recent downgrade by Northland Capital Markets, investors in Sunnova Energy International Inc. (NYSE:NOVA) may benefit from additional insights provided by InvestingPro. With a market capitalization of approximately $1.05 billion and a challenging financial landscape, Sunnova's stock has been under considerable pressure.

One key metric that stands out is the company's Price / Book ratio, which, as of the last twelve months ending Q4 2023, is at a low 0.68. This suggests that the stock may be undervalued compared to the company's book value, potentially offering an attractive entry point for value investors. Additionally, despite the company's significant growth in revenue by 29.22% over the last year, analysts are not optimistic about profitability in the near term, as the company has not been profitable over the last twelve months.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Sunnova operates with a significant debt burden and may have trouble making interest payments on its debt. This is particularly concerning given the company's recent stock performance, with a 1-week price total return showing a steep decline of 23.96%. Such high volatility could be indicative of investor sentiment and market concerns regarding the company's financial health.

For those looking to delve deeper into Sunnova's financials and future outlook, InvestingPro offers a wealth of additional tips. In fact, there are 16 more InvestingPro Tips available, which can provide further guidance on the company's valuation, cash flow, and stock performance trends. Interested investors can explore these tips and more by visiting and using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

As Sunnova continues to navigate through its financial challenges, these InvestingPro Insights could be instrumental in helping investors make more informed decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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