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Goldman Bullish on U.S. IPOs: A Resurgent Market with Promising Prospects

Published 02/12/2024, 02:49 PM
Updated 02/12/2024, 03:00 PM
© Reuters.  Goldman Bullish on U.S. IPOs: A Resurgent Market with Promising Prospects

Quiver Quantitative - The U.S. IPO market is exhibiting a resurgence, with a diverse range of companies successfully debuting on stock exchanges. Last week, eight firms collectively raised over $2 billion, marking the busiest week for IPOs since September. Notably, all businesses that raised over $100 million are currently trading above their offer prices, with Kyverna Therapeutics (KYTX) and American Healthcare REIT (AHR) emerging as top performers. However, not every company succeeded in launching their IPOs, as exemplified by Fortegra Group withdrawal due to market conditions.

The current market conditions, including record highs in major U.S. equity indexes and reduced volatility, are fostering a favorable environment for IPOs. Goldman Sachs (GS) anticipates a continued improvement in IPO activity, backed by its index indicating a nearly two-year high in the overall environment for public offerings. The early success of IPOs in 2024, with an average return of 4.4% for companies debuting last week, reinforces Goldman Sachs' positive outlook.

Market Overview: -Busy week sees eight firms raise over $2 billion in US offerings. -Kyverna, American Healthcare REIT lead early performers, exceeding expectations. -Solid returns and broader investor interest support positive outlook.

Key Points: -Eight IPOs debut, building on momentum and exceeding $2 billion in capital raised. -Fortegra Group withdraws offering, citing market conditions and high valuation expectations. -Goldman Sachs expects continued improvement in 2024, citing healthy market fundamentals.

Looking Ahead: -IPO activity expected to slow temporarily for financial reporting, then pick up with major debuts. -Reddit and Lineage Logistics among highly anticipated offerings in the coming months. -Investor focus remains on company fundamentals and careful selection within the growing pool of candidates.

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Investor behavior has shifted, with a focus on fundamentals and rigorous valuation assessments, rather than treating IPOs as a homogeneous asset class. This discerning approach has resulted in heightened attention to each new offering, leading to more thoughtful investment decisions. The upcoming weeks, however, are expected to see a slowdown in IPOs as companies prepare their full-year financial statements for auditing. This lull sets the stage for eagerly awaited companies like Reddit and Lineage Logistics, which are targeting IPOs in the coming months.

In summary, the revival of the U.S. IPO market reflects a broader trend of cautious optimism and a return to fundamental analysis among investors. As the market anticipates the debut of major companies in the near future, the trajectory of IPOs will offer key insights into investor sentiment and market dynamics.

This article was originally published on Quiver Quantitative

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