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Wall St dips to lower close as rate hike bets firm, banks jump

Published 04/14/2023, 05:58 AM
Updated 04/14/2023, 07:35 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Traders work on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 31, 2023. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly

By Stephen Culp

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended lower on Friday as a barrage of mixed economic data appeared to affirm another Federal Reserve interest rate hike, dampening investor enthusiasm after a series of big U.S. bank earnings launched first-quarter reporting season.

All three major U.S. stock indexes ended in the red, but well off session lows. On the heels of Thursday's robust rally, all three major U.S. stock indexes notched weekly gains.

"Today we're taking bit of a breather," said Sal Bruno, chief investment officer at IndexIQ in New York. "After yesterday's sharp move up, the market might have gotten a little ahead of itself."

Citigroup Inc (NYSE:C), JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM) and Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) & Co beat earnings expectations, benefiting from rising interest rates and easing fears of stress in the banking system.

"As expected, the bigger banks were probably not harmed that much by the regional banking turmoil, and possibly even beneficiaries of it," said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst at Baird in Louisville, Kentucky. "We saw mostly strong and healthy balance sheets, and it's pretty clear (the regional banking) crisis isn't systemic."

The S&P 500 banking sector jumped 3.5% and JPMorgan Chase surged 7.6%, its biggest one-day percentage gain since Nov. 9, 2020.

Citigroup advanced 4.8% while Wells Fargo edged 0.1% lower.

But a slew of mixed economic data including retail sales, industrial production and consumer sentiment cemented expectations that the Fed will hike rates another 25 basis points at next month's policy meeting.

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"Industrial production and capacity utilization came in stronger than expected," Bruno added. "Both point to an economy that still has some vibrancy, which gives Fed cover to continue its rate hike policy in May possibly into June."

Consensus grows for Fed rate hike in May    https://www.reuters.com/graphics/USA-RATES/FEDWATCH/zdpxdayyrpx/chart.png

Those expectations were underscored by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, who said another 25 basis point hike could allow the Fed to end its tightening cycle, even as Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee called for the central bank to be prudent.

At last glance, financial markets have priced in a 74% likelihood of that happening, according to CME's FedWatch tool.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 143.22 points, or 0.42%, to 33,886.47; the S&P 500 lost 8.58 points, or 0.21%, at 4,137.64; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 42.81 points, or 0.35%, to 12,123.47.

Among the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500, seven ended the session lower, with real estate falling most. Financials enjoyed the biggest percentage jump, advancing 1.1%.

First-quarter earnings season hits full stride next week, with results expected from several high profile companies including Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE:GS), Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC), Netflix Inc (NASDAQ:NFLX) and a long list of regional banks and industrials.

Analysts have lowered expectations, forecasting aggregate S&P 500 earnings having fallen by 4.8% from a year ago, a reversal of the 1.4% year-on-year gain seen at the beginning of the quarter, according to Refinitiv.

BlackRock Inc (NYSE:BLK) rose 3.1% after the world's largest asset manager beat quarterly profit expectations.

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Boeing (NYSE:BA) Co slid 5.6% after the planemaker halted deliveries of some 737 MAXs due to a supplier quality problem attributed to Spirit AeroSystems (NYSE:SPR), whose shares fell 20.7%.

Shares of Lucid Group Inc dropped 6.3% following the luxury electric automaker's disappointing first-quarter production and delivery numbers.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 2.01-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.07-to-1 ratio favored decliners.

The S&P 500 posted 11 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 47 new highs and 205 new lows.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.98 billion shares, compared with the 11.31 billion average over the last 20 trading days.

Latest comments

shall Monday nasdaq drop hard?
earning forcast not good so comi ng days market go down only may be 7 to 10% correction. as financial results not good this year compare to last year
CPI was at 5-7 % from mid 2021 to Dec 2021. Even then interest rate was almost neglible. prior to mid 2021 it was hovering around 3 %. Why would FED need to increase rates again when USA has such a high interest rate now compared to neglible rates in May to Dec 2021 when CPI growth % was almost the same as now in April 2023 ? doesnt make any sense at all when some of the FED members keep talking about more interest rate hikes. its time to pause and wait for 6 months or so to see the CPI data (and do something on the crude front to bring down crude prices). most likely the high interest already in places will contain CPI gradually to 3-4 % in coming 6-10 months Time for SP 500 to rally to 4600 +
As Chad & Co throw dollar bulls a bone 🦴🦴
trusting this is our mistake
hii
If they put their brains to work, they do increase the rates a little more, hold it higher for longer and cut the balance sheet. The economy must get free from this artificial liquidity poured into the market in the last decade
Core inflation yoy too high. No pause. S&P 3000-3300.
agree
the profits from JP Morgan and co were as a result of the collapse of SVB and other banks which resulted to huge deposits on these big banks... Even the Fed should be cautious of any future hikes... Still don't know why the market was so surprised of the huge earnings from these banks when the reason is clearly know
absolutely there is no other reason. small bank collapse. big bank get benefited so small bank going to face more challenging time in US
Did you care to even read the JPM report?
dow realy bogus market it's worst then nifty
this is what i dun understand. Inflation is cooling with retail sales drop and u said fed seen on track to hike rates?
yes as inflation still high above their mid year target so they will do more rate hike
unemployment still not nearly high enough - FED need to cause pain and see the markets go down - not zoom to the moon like theyve done over the past three months - that just tells the fed to push harder
omg.. since last year they are aiming for soft landing and u still talk about high unemployment to stop fed frm hiking rates. Fed will keep talking about rate pause until we see cpi increase again.
One day up and one day down.. headlines are funny.. they are just timepass
Stupid market
vix is being coy, seems to think the pull back is healthy.
it's slow economy and growth and more rate hike coming. do not be emotional. truth is there is more downside. upside will not sustain for more than 1 or 2 day
I already down graded earning of US market due to economy slow down. except few big banks do well apart from that nothing much good earning. valuation very high of dow. there is more downside in US market
It does not make any sense
ha ha....
Maybe asking a specific, intelligent question would be more constructive.
this is y u dca into index funds and hold long term
Plenty of room to raise interest rates as oil prices accelerate. Banks healthy, job market strong so interest rates will be much higher for longer.
yeah, most banks are in a bad way - just the big four money laundering mafia are healthy
 the FED wants to crash the markets - they'll just never tell you that - all the insiders have already sold out.
big banks push is temporary. They've been flooded with deposits since SVB and Signature failures. That won't continue and they ask have massive exposure with unrealized losses. They're betting on rate decreases and flip of inverted yield curves
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