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Stock Market Today: Dow ends higher as Treasury yields dive; jobs report eyed

Published 11/01/2023, 07:08 PM
Updated 11/02/2023, 04:25 PM
© Reuters.

Investing.com -- The Dow closed sharply higher Thursday, buoyed by a slump in Treasury yields ahead of the monthly jobs report due Friday following bets that the Federal Reserve is done raising interest rates.

At 14:32 ET (20:00 GMT), the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 564 points or 1.7%, while the S&P 500 was up 1.9% and the NASDAQ Composite was up 1.8%.

The main indices on Wall Street closed substantially higher Wednesday, with the blue chip Dow gaining 220 points, or 0.7%, the broad-based S&P rose 1.1% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq climbed 1.6%.

Bets on end of Fed rate hikes gather momentum, pushing Treasury yields lower

This positive tone followed the conclusion of the latest policy-setting meeting by the U.S. Federal Reserve, which resulted in the central bank holding interest rates steady, as widely expected.

Fed chairman Powell "kept the door open for a rate hike in December and beyond, noting that the Committee is not confident they have achieved a 'sufficiently restrictive' stance, Deutsche Bank said in a note. But on the dovish side, Powell "did not sound perturbed by recent data strength, likely reflecting concerns around tighter FCIs and a desire to see more data to determine if these trends are sustained," it added.

The unchanged decision arrived despite the recent uptick in the economy, stoking hopes that the Fed isn't likely to hike rates again.  Treasury yields added to losses from a day earlier, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling 12.3 basis points to 4.666%. 

Starbucks steams ahead after impressive earnings, but Moderna sinks as weaker Covid demand dents earnings

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Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ:SBUX) rallied more than 9% after the coffee chain reported fiscal fourth-quarter results that topped Wall Street estimates on both the top and bottom lines, underpinned by growth in its key China market. 

Moderna Inc (NASDAQ:MRNA), meanwhile, reported wider than expected loss in the third quarter as waning demand for its Covid vaccine led to $3.1B hit from unused vaccines, sending its shares 6% lower. 

Palantir earnings show AI boost, Roku , PayPal ride earnings beat higher

Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE:PLTR) delivered stronger than expected full-year guidance after reporting better-than-expected Q3 results as demand for its artificial intelligence products continued to gather momentum. Its shares ended 20% higher.

Palantir now expects to generate $599M and $603M of revenue in Q4, or $601M at the midpoint, topping Wall Street estimates of $600.5M. 

Roku Inc (NASDAQ:ROKU) and PayPal Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:PYPL), meanwhile, rose more than 30% and 6% respectively after delivering quarterly better-than-expected quarterly results.  

"Roku has shown resilience by expanding some of its key platform sub-segments, diversifying its advertising product offering, and launching new advertising products," Wedbush said in note.

Oil gains after Fed stays steady

Oil prices rebounded Thursday, snapping a three-day decline, after the Fed kept interest rates on hold, hitting the dollar and helping risk appetite return to financial markets.

Markets largely traded past U.S. inventory data, with official data from the Energy Information Administration showing a slightly smaller-than-expected build in oil inventories over the week to October 27.

Distillate inventories saw a smaller-than-expected decline, while gasoline inventories saw an unexpected limited build. 

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Monthly jobs report in focus

The nonfarm payrolls report is expected to show the economy created 188,000 jobs in October, well below the 336,000 job gains in September. 

Slowing job gains, which will ease pressure on wages and inflation are expected to add to bets that the Fed isn't likely to raise rates again.

(Liz Moyer, Peter Nurse and Oliver Gray contributed to this story.)

Latest comments

lol, permabears are devastated..
If you are really watching the bond yields you will notice that the 2YR vs 10YR and 3MO vs 30YR yield curve inversion spreads are getting larger. The real bond market meltdown will hit once Yellen's $770 billion of new treasury bonds hit the market.
Inversions have gotten smaller since Jume.
* June 2023
I guess Apple's report was conveniently ignored? Its revenues slid for the 4th straight quarter. Only stock pumping news is covered in here? Can't have bad reports disrupting the FEDs liquidity injections
us govt. shutdown risk, geopolitical risk, fed risk, etc. the worst situation.
Invest in a fixed rate annuity at 5% ( or more) with no risk, get some rest, and collect on the interest
Now might be good time to shift to longer duration bonds if the Fed's hiking cycle is done.
Charles Ponzi would cry tears of joy if he could only see the ultimate incarnation of his work in action.  Truly, the greatest financial fraud the world will ever witness.
These are fictitious markets. The simple math and reality of central-bank distorted markets is quite simple: These markets rise and fall on liquidity. Unfortunately, this critical “liquidity” isn't coming from economic growth, a robust Main Street, fundamentals or a fairly-priced market. Instead, liquidity is generated out of thin air by the FED and Central Banks whenever and without the need of a cause. No sane human should be invested in these markets.
Traders bet their ass off the market.
Another flagrant show of fraud and criminal manipulation by the BIGGEST INVESTMENT JOKE IN THE WORLD.
after people were sick of losing in mkt, they seem to buy stocks out of hope. hope without actionable evidence.
Serious question, has any investor on this site gone long in stocks over the past week? Does anybody here know any actual trader or investor who is buying right now?
I agree no one ! But why has it recover 1200 points the dow and is this going to continue till end of year !
 They can do these kinds of moves because they are exploiting VIX while most investors are on the sidelines. There is not a lot of actual liquidity in the markets right now which is why it is trading like a penny stock.
I started buy past week, thought its oversold ...
"bets that the Federal Reserve is done raising interest rates" So this is a casino... based purely on bets, not real fundamentals or common sense price discovery...got it!
Are any actual humans buying stocks right now or has the market just become a giant penny stock as hedge funds exploit the low market liquidity through pumping and dumping to extract funds through VIX fluctuations? The US national debt has risen by many trillions with massive inflation but the stock market has not actually seen any gains. Meanwhile people are suffering due to highest inflation and mortgage rates in decades. The last inflation numbers did not even come under control despite a nearly 5% increase in rates since Biden took office.
Wall St cares nothing for reality or the plight of Main St. Americans. Banksters are gorging on a complete fudge sundae.
at this rate s&p will be 6000 in no time!!
6000 before 3000.
Leftists: "OMG capitalism is so terrible, I cannot afford to pay back my student loans and need people who did not go to college to pay it back for me"...also leftists, "Starbucks gets US sales bump as Pumpkin Spice Latte returns"
how about 50 bps hike now indicating the pause was a human error.
they know if they keep rate hike probably Bank will suffer and they need Banks.
emergency rate hike is needed.
It's almost like inflation was transitory.
They were right to say "transitory"  ;-)
Another miraculous lack of intraday volatility as a months of losses magically vanishes in 4 days.  The flagrant FRAUD goes pedal to the metal in the BIGGEST INVESTMENT JOKE IN THE WORLD.
The FOMC meeting ended yesterday.  Try to keep up.
odds of government shutdown this month is 30%. maybe the true odds would be 99%.
Buy stocks now is the message. Just imagine how high stocks will be when we hit 15-20% inflation...so long as interest rates are steady ...its Fine
Inflation and consumer spending came in hotter than expected just last week, the only reason that the Fed is not raising interest rates is because the housing market is imploding. Mortgage rates are the highest in decades and home sales are massively down. They are just not talking about it openly because it is the type of thing that caused the 2008 crash. There is absolutely nothing bullish about rates being held steady where they are right now, people cannot afford homes and cars and savings accounts are being drained. These fake post-Fed rallies get dumped just as quick as they happen.
shhh... sell gold and buy stocks like they want you to
only steady is the rising inflation
GDP has been rising more steadily.  Unemployment rate is steadily flat for longer than inflation rising..
A FED pause has been priced in for awhile. Once the FED starts cutting and the bond yield curves uninvert the recession can begin in earnest.
"priced in for awhile"?  Yields rose before and between the Sept 20  & yesterday's rate pauses.
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