Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

Forex - USD/CHF weekly outlook: March 3 - 7

Published 03/02/2014, 06:11 AM
Updated 03/02/2014, 06:11 AM
Dollar ends week sharply lower against Swiss franc - The dollar fell to more than one-year lows against the Swiss franc on Friday after data showed that U.S. fourth quarter growth was revised lower, while rising tensions in Ukraine and a weaker Chinese yuan also underpinned safe haven demand.

USD/CHF hit 0.8775, the weakest since November 2011 and ended Friday’s session down 0.90% at 0.8802. For the week, the pair lost 0.95%.

The pair is likely to find support at 0.8625 and resistance at 0.8888, Friday’s high.

The dollar weakened after the Commerce Department reported that U.S. fourth quarter gross domestic product was revised down to an annual rate of 2.4%, from a preliminary estimate of 3.2%. Analysts had expected a downward revision to 2.5%.

Earlier in the week, Fed Chair Janet Yellen acknowledged recent weakness in U.S. data, saying it indicates softness in the economy.

In testimony to the Senate banking committee in Washington, Ms. Yellen said it was hard to say how much the recent soft data was due to weather and added that the bank would be attentive to signals on whether the recovery is progressing in line with expectations.

Demand for the traditional safe haven Swiss franc was also underpinned as political and military tensions between Russia and Ukraine escalated, following reports that armed men had occupied airports in the pro-Russia Crimea region.

Meanwhile, concerns over a steep decline in the Chinese yuan curbed risk appetite, amid speculation that the country’s central bank has intervened to add volatility to the currency ahead of possible economic reforms.

In Switzerland, data on Thursday showed that the country’s economy grew 0.2% in the final three months of 2013 and expanded 1.7% on a year over-year basis.

Market expectations had been for quarterly growth of 0.4% and year-on-year growth of 2.0%.

In the week ahead, investors will be anticipating Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for an indication of the strength of the recovery in the labor market.

Meanwhile, Switzerland is to publish data on consumer prices, and the central bank is to release data on foreign currency reserves.

Ahead of the coming week, has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets. The guide skips Tuesday, as there are no relevant events on this day.

Monday, March 3

Switzerland is to publish its SVME PMI.

The U.S. is to release data on personal spending, while the Institute of Supply Management is to release data on manufacturing activity.

Wednesday, March 5

The U.S. is to release the ADP report on private sector job creation, which leads the government’s nonfarm payrolls report by two days. Meanwhile, the ISM is to publish a report service sector activity.

Thursday, March 6

The U.S. is to publish the weekly report on initial jobless claims and data on factory orders.

Friday, March 7

The Swiss National Bank is to release data on foreign currency reserves. This data is closely scrutinized for indications of the size of the bank’s operations in currency markets. Switzerland is also to release data on consumer inflation.

The U.S. is to round up the week with the closely watched government data on nonfarm payrolls and the unemployment rate.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.