Get 40% Off
👀 👁 🧿 All eyes on Biogen, up +4,56% after posting earnings. Our AI picked it in March 2024.
Which stocks will surge next?
Unlock AI-picked Stocks

Dollar eases as market shrugs off inflation revision data

Published 02/08/2024, 08:42 PM
Updated 02/09/2024, 02:41 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

By Herbert Lash and Amanda Cooper

NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters) -The dollar eased on Friday as it headed for a fourth week of gains while traders reduced their bets on how quickly the Bank of Japan might raise interest rates and how soon the Federal Reserve will cut them.

Traders shrugged off revised U.S. monthly consumer prices that rose less than initially estimated in December. While underlying inflation remained a bit warm, the mixed picture did not alter the market's outlook on the timing of Fed rate cuts.

The annual revisions published by the Labor Department also showed the consumer price index (CPI) increasing slightly more than previously reported in October and November.

"The revisions aren't going to make the Fed cut rates," said Steven Ricchiuto, U.S. chief economist at Mizuho Securities USA LLC in New York.

"The market's in a rush, (but) the Fed is sitting there saying we're not in a rush. Actually, things are really pretty good from their perspective," he said.

The dollar index fell 0.07% to 104.04, while the euro was up 0.08% to $1.0785.

The widely anticipated revisions are more for economists and are too small to matter to the market, said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex in New York.

"We've had a big move this week and I think they were just consolidating in the FX market," he said. "The market last year got too aggressive about how far the Fed's going to cut and when they're going to begin."

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Fed officials this week again signaled the U.S. central bank has no pressing need to cut rates. The message gave the dollar an extra tailwind that pushed the yen to a 10-week low as traders reduced bets on how quickly the Bank of Japan (BOJ) might raise rates.

BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Friday there was a high chance for easy monetary conditions to persist even after the central bank ends its negative interest rate policy, which the market expects to happen as early as next month.

The yen was little changed at 149.32 per dollar after trading at 149.575 earlier, its weakest since Nov. 27. It is heading for about a 0.64% slide this week, having fallen in value in five out of the last six weeks.

Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki said he was "watching FX moves carefully," uttering a well-worn phrase for the first time since Jan. 19. Traders were unfazed by the warning.

The next major scheduled U.S. data release is CPI for January on Tuesday.

Traders have all but ruled out a cut at the Fed's next policy meeting in March, versus a chance of 65.9% a month ago, according to CME Group's (NASDAQ:CME) FedWatch Tool. It shows around a 60% chance of a cut by the Fed at its May meeting.

Sterling rose 0.15% to $1.2635. Both the euro and the pound have been relatively resilient this week, with officials from the European Central Bank and Bank of England pushing back against market wagers on early rate reductions.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

The Swiss franc weakened to 0.8747, with the dollar up about 0.93% on the safe haven currency this week as traders digested data suggesting the Swiss National Bank could be intervening in markets to weaken the franc.

Bitcoin rose 4.9% to $47,549.00, after earlier hitting a high of $48,183.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.