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Economic Calendar - Top 5 Things to Watch This Week

EconomyNov 08, 2020 07:15AM ET
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© Reuters

By Noreen Burke

Investing.com -- A victory for Democrat Joe Biden in the U.S. presidential election will likely ease some jitters in financial markets this week even as President Donald Trump refuses to concede and presses ahead with legal fights against the outcome. But with control of the Senate still up in the air and the fresh resurgence in virus cases market risks linger and the prospect of additional economic stimulus before January is unlikely. Investors will be watching appearances by several Federal Reserve officials, including Chairman Jerome Powell later in the week. Meanwhile, earnings season is beginning to wind down, but there are still dozens of companies set to report and Brexit talks are heading into extra time. Here is what you need to know to start your week.

  1. Biden wins U.S. presidency

Major networks declared Democrat Joe Biden the winner of the U.S. presidential election on Saturday and although current President Donald Trump said he would fight the results in court his chances of overturning the election results are slim.

U.S. stock markets registered their biggest weekly gains since April last week, on bets Biden would win and Republicans would hold onto the Senate. That scenario would create a steadier hand in the Oval Office and a Congress that would keep Biden from implementing tax increases or many new regulations.

As such, investors focus will now turn to two Senate races in Georgia heading to run-off elections in early January.

The significance of those races, which could potentially end up with the Democrats controlling the White House, Senate and House of Representatives, means January is "the new November" in terms of election volatility risk, Michael Purves, founder and CEO of Tallbacken Capital, said in a note to clients.

  1. Virus resurgence

The U.S. on Saturday reported a record increase in coronavirus cases for a fourth consecutive day with at least 131,420 new infections, bringing the country's total caseload to about 9.91 million, according to a Reuters tally. The number of deaths nationwide was more than 1,000 for a fifth consecutive day on Saturday, according to Reuters.

But despite the resurgence in virus cases the prospects for a major fiscal-stimulus package before January remain dim.

Democrats potentially have an incentive to wait until after the runoff races in Georgia in January when they could retake control of the Senate. That would allow them to push through their own large spending package.

For their part, Senate Republicans will be able to block large scale spending called for by Democrats. On Friday, U.S. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said that economic data, including a decline in the unemployment rate, showed that Congress should enact a smaller stimulus package.

  1. Wall Street welcomes Biden victory

Investors and prominent Wall Street figures said Saturday they were happy with the election finally being called, ending days of uncertainty during which Trump made repeated claims of electoral fraud without providing evidence.

"Now is a time for unity," JPMorgan Chief Executive Jamie Dimon said in a statement. "We must respect the results of the U.S. presidential election and, as we have with every election, honor the decision of the voters and support a peaceful transition of power."

Billionaire investor Bill Ackman wrote on Twitter: "There comes a time in the battle when one should fold the tent," and urged: "Concede graciously and call for unity."

"Biden is good news for the markets," Christopher Stanton, chief investment officer at Sunrise Capital Partners, said on Saturday. "We're all so tired of the whipsaw that came with the Trump tweets."

In earnings news, some of the companies reporting in the coming days include McDonald’s (NYSE:MCD), Softbank (T:9984), Beyond Meat (NASDAQ:BYND) and Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY) on Monday and Walt Disney (NYSE:DIS), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT) and Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO) on Thursday.

  1. Fed speakers, inflation data

The U.S. economic calendar features updates on inflation and consumer confidence along with Thursday’s report on initial jobless claims.

Friday’s jobs report showed that the U.S. economy created the fewest jobs in five months in October and more Americans are working part time, the clearest indication yet that the recovery from the pandemic induced recession is losing momentum as fiscal stimulus dries up and new virus cases mushroom.

Several Fed speakers are due to make appearances this week including Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans, New York Fed President John Williams, Fed Vice Chairman Randal Quarles and Fed Governor Lael Brainard.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is due to speak as part of a panel at the annual ECB forum on central banking on Thursday.

  1. Brexit endgame

Britain and the European Union have until Nov. 15 to try, once again, reach an agreement on a Brexit trade deal. Similar deadlines have come and gone before but this one is important because the transition period -- under which Britain has remained in the EU customs union and single market -- ends on Dec. 31.

Both sides say a deal can be reached, but the EU's chief negotiator has warned of "very serious divergences."

It underlines the uncertainty the UK economy is facing after the Bank of England announced a larger-than-expected stimulus increase just last week to cushion the economy from the ravages of new coronavirus lockdowns and Brexit.

As talks head into extra time, markets will also get an update on the health of the economy from third quarter GDP figures on Thursday, along with data on industrial production.

Economic Calendar - Top 5 Things to Watch This Week
 

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Comments (46)
Greg Nathan
Greg Nathan Nov 09, 2020 4:16AM ET
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Item #3 is biased. The Jamie Dimon quote is foolish. It ain't over until it is over. There are recounts and lawsuits. I know, MSM says they are unlikely to be successful, but MSM says this without even knowing what the evidence is - biased.  Today's evidence, when it is revealed, could be very compelling, and MSM you don't know what that evidence is, so stop reporting what you hope is the news.  Sure, I know, it is very likely the recounts won't turn up enough votes unless they find more ballots under a rock someplace, but...,   wait...  They found some more ballots under a rock some place!  Did you see that picture?
Michael Tomlin
Michael Tomlin Nov 08, 2020 8:20PM ET
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I'm betting on SOTUS to take the spotlight on Tuesday when 25 million people lose there health care.
Patron Silver
Patron Silver Nov 08, 2020 5:27PM ET
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Do nothing McConnell IS the swamp and he keeps getting re-elected. smh. Do something about him u repubturds
HelliumStar ..
HelliumStar .. Nov 08, 2020 2:10PM ET
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Who will be Greench this year? FED/Democrats/Large Banks/...Coronavirus?
Adamo Nals
Adamo Nals Nov 08, 2020 1:50PM ET
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What blue wave!? Now its gridlock for 4 years. Actually great for markets
Adamo Nals
Adamo Nals Nov 08, 2020 1:50PM ET
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What happened to the blue wave? 12 new republican house. Minimal. They will hold the Senate most likely. All of those incumbent were knocked out. That’s America saying don’t ever say Socialism again. Humongous lost in the house for Democrats. All polsters should be fired. They had it 100% wrong. 15% up biden. And a blue wave. What happened????
Julie Cruise
Julie Cruise Nov 08, 2020 1:47PM ET
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no one is taking in account that the extreme left in Dems will want their pound if flash after election. It will be a very tribal and diveded administration and Joe has no strength
Julie Cruise
Julie Cruise Nov 08, 2020 1:47PM ET
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it will be a virtual signalling 4 year show but nothing substantial being done except maybe reinstating troops in foreign lands to "fight evil".
Adamo Nals
Adamo Nals Nov 08, 2020 1:47PM ET
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Julie is spot on!
Thom Miller
Thom Miller Nov 08, 2020 1:47PM ET
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Adamo Nals “Pound if flash” is spot on? I think Julie needs to reread “The Merchant of Venice.” Another typical uneducated Trumper is wrong again!
David Boyd
David Boyd Nov 08, 2020 1:47PM ET
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He probably declared mentally unfit in 6 months to a year.
Ed Miller
Ed Miller Nov 08, 2020 1:47PM ET
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David Boyd  In case you missed it, Trump's already been declared "mentally unfit"
Adamo Nals
Adamo Nals Nov 08, 2020 1:46PM ET
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Again all of you have to understand it’s all on buying it now. The coronavirus gets worse it’s his fault. Economy gets worse it’s his fault and responsibility. I mean it’s over but I do not feel comfortable with a shaky 78 year old you really didn’t do much in 47 years in government. Legislatively idea. 94 crime bill. Put millions and millions of African-Americans in jail to this day. Just remember everything is on Biden. You have to be fair in media. Period.
Chris Maz
ChristoM Nov 08, 2020 1:46PM ET
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He will do what Obama did for 8 years which was to blame the previous administration.  Antifa and BLM rioting began under Obama but Trump gets the blame.
Ed Miller
Ed Miller Nov 08, 2020 1:46PM ET
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I'd prefer a humble and fit 78yo Biden to a fat 74yo narcissistic Trump.  And by the way I'd say Trump spread his share of "blame" in these 4 years!   ie. he probably lost the close race in Arizona purely because of his strong inclination to spread blame!   ie. when he castigated a (dying) John McCain for disagreeing with him!  That one act could have made the difference in AZ.
Adamo Nals
Adamo Nals Nov 08, 2020 1:43PM ET
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It’s obviously clear. Just remember everything is on Biden now. Economy the coronavirus. So I want to hear fair and the same coverage of the devastation under his presidency. He is walking into a ***show that’s all I can say. I would not envy his position. It’s probably one of the hardest for an incoming president ever. And if the virus gets worse it’s on him. The economy gets worse it’s on him. Thas how it works now.
Julie Cruise
Julie Cruise Nov 08, 2020 1:43PM ET
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"Biden is the saviour healing the nation". Vaccine will be out and Covid will be history. And the whole pandemic is a text book on how to manipulate data for political purposes. History is the narrative which sticks the most, facts are optional.
Patron Silver
Patron Silver Nov 08, 2020 1:43PM ET
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its great how dems always have to come in and clean up the mess from the previous repubturd mess (ala bush jr, trumpturd sr.)
Joel Schwartz
Joel Schwartz Nov 08, 2020 1:37PM ET
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Guys, G.W. Bush just congratulated Biden on his win. It’s over.
andy matalobos
andy matalobos Nov 08, 2020 12:16PM ET
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The reason the orange jellyfish is creating an illusion of multiple law suits against the final results of the election is the excuse that's need to demand contributions for his "final exit slush fund " he's desperate for cash because he's financially flat broken, all his golf resorts, hotels, offices and commercial buildings are losing money and he owns more than $400 millions to👀????.....He is a fake wealthy person. His whole life has been a fraud fulfilled with corruption.....
Francesco Lucchesi
Francesco Lucchesi Nov 08, 2020 12:16PM ET
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i hope he gets prosecuted and jailed. failing that death by covid
Jose Mibaresh
Jose Mibaresh Nov 08, 2020 11:43AM ET
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Biden didn't win. Read the Constitution. 3 USC1. This site is propaganda.
Sage of Silver Atronach
Sage of Silver Atronach Nov 08, 2020 11:43AM ET
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Hi Donald!
Francesco Lucchesi
Francesco Lucchesi Nov 08, 2020 11:43AM ET
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just accept defeat and shut it
Christophins Treasures
Christophins Treasures Nov 08, 2020 11:43AM ET
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Yes, Joseph ByeDon won!
king michael
king michael Nov 08, 2020 11:27AM ET
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Time for the wealthy to pay the free FED money back to working American. Time to rollback Trump corporate tax and increase tax to the wealthy. Time to split amzn/google/fb .... to save small business and 70% of the economy. Time for lock down to stop the spread of COVID.
Kaveh Sun
Kaveh Sun Nov 08, 2020 11:27AM ET
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Wont be any lockdown d#. Wishfull thinking. This virus will magicall goes away next year
Ed Miller
Ed Miller Nov 08, 2020 11:27AM ET
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Kaveh Sun    Nah, nothing magical about it.  And no conspiracies either!  Rather it'll be important little details like vaccines and herd immunity.  With masks and appropriate social distancing in the meantime.
Jesse Mulliniks
Jesse Mulliniks Nov 08, 2020 11:22AM ET
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Trump supporters just looking sad and cringey. Have some self respect
ke ha
ke ha Nov 08, 2020 11:22AM ET
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Did you notice the last four years. Democrats burning down buildings, looting, rioting, etc... to name a few and you think republicans are sad and cringey! Democrat Denial at its finest!
ke ha
ke ha Nov 08, 2020 11:22AM ET
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Did you notice the last four years. Democrats burning down buildings, looting, rioting, etc... to name a few and you think republicans are sad and cringey! Democrat Denial at its finest!
Max Tor
Max Tor Nov 08, 2020 11:13AM ET
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" without providing evidence.... " what rock are you living under.
Brian Weiss
Brian Weiss Nov 08, 2020 11:13AM ET
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Canadian USPS worker arrested , found box of ballots.
Brandon Fujii
Brandon Fujii Nov 08, 2020 11:13AM ET
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Trump lost three key states. this is just a conspiracy theory with no substantive evidence.
Brandon Fujii
Brandon Fujii Nov 08, 2020 11:13AM ET
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Trump lost three key states. this is just a conspiracy theory with no substantive evidence.
Brandon Fujii
Brandon Fujii Nov 08, 2020 11:13AM ET
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Trump lost three key states. this is just a conspiracy theory with no substantive evidence.
Adam Ryan
Adam Ryan Nov 08, 2020 10:59AM ET
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Market will crash very soon mayb in 2021!!!  JUST WAIT & SEE!!!!
James Gomez
James Gomez Nov 08, 2020 10:59AM ET
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Especially with another possible lockdown
Adam Ryan
Adam Ryan Nov 08, 2020 10:59AM ET
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James Gomez  Everyone will blame Biden but Trump created the bubble in market
Kaveh Sun
Kaveh Sun Nov 08, 2020 10:58AM ET
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It is over. China Biden wins. Reps win senate. Trump tax cut for companies stay. Beden remove tariffs. It is win-win for companies. For that i bought last week n i’m winning.
Joe Maldonado
Joe Maldonado Nov 08, 2020 10:58AM ET
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Senate control still in the air. Georgia runoff elections will determine control. Since Biden is ahead in GA and Stacy Abram signed 750k new Dem voters and possible GOP apathy after loss by Trump, Dems chances are pretty decent.
Kaveh Sun
Kaveh Sun Nov 08, 2020 10:58AM ET
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Joe Maldonado 50 Gop. Watch they will win 1 more. In investing u need to look forward to make money.
Sam Iam
Sam Iam Nov 08, 2020 10:54AM ET
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Biden didn't win. Electoral College picks the president on December 14. The electoral college decides; representatives of each state can vote however they want regardless of the vote; already ruled by Supreme Court that the popular vote is null and void.
Show previous replies (5)
Jurgen Daub
Jurgen Daub Nov 08, 2020 10:54AM ET
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aggree, GOP=Dictatorshipall power to corporaration and banks to melk whom? We the people, you and me!just look at JPMorgans profit last year.requires understanding of some more complex connections between cause and effect and not just the first thing that seems to jump in your face. but this requires some grey mass inside the skull
Jose Mibaresh
Jose Mibaresh Nov 08, 2020 10:54AM ET
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per the Constitution, the election is advisory to the States Electors. It is not binding. All votes must be counted by election day.
Jose Mibaresh
Jose Mibaresh Nov 08, 2020 10:54AM ET
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USA is not a Democracy, it is a Republic.
Jose Mibaresh
Jose Mibaresh Nov 08, 2020 10:54AM ET
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Thats not how it works. Read the Constitution, start with 3USC1. Late, fraud votes will be ignored by the States Electors as invalid and past the Constitutionally prescribed deadline
Adrian White
Adrian White Nov 08, 2020 10:54AM ET
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Jose, it doesn't state that all votes must be 'counted' by election day. All votes must be 'cast' by election day. The voting stops, but the counting obviously has to continue until every vote is counted. That actually happens every year, not just this year. It's just that this year had a much larger amount of votes to count, and several states were too close to call a winner on election day.
Sam Iam
Sam Iam Nov 08, 2020 10:54AM ET
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Let's see.
jemin An
jemin An Nov 08, 2020 10:53AM ET
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It will be the first test for presidental successor how he can handle the previous power, and chance to show the strong will of new regime. Otherwise he will start his era with small lameduck. Market does not want it.
Chanh Nguyen
Chanh Nguyen Nov 08, 2020 10:53AM ET
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He wont do anything, he didnt do anything for 40 years in office. He wilm open the doors for the chinese to take over the country, and accepta their blackmail money.
Jurgen Daub
Jurgen Daub Nov 08, 2020 10:53AM ET
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they have already taken over, sleeper
jonse leno
Jonse85 Nov 08, 2020 10:37AM ET
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go on americans fight it out my gold will go up XD
Patron Silver
Patron Silver Nov 08, 2020 10:33AM ET
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Stop putting down the hard work of the poll workers and vote counters with lame conspiracy theories. u didnt have a problem with mail in ballots four years ago.
Matt Smelcer
Matt Smelcer Nov 08, 2020 10:33AM ET
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These are not the same type of mail in ballots. These are ballots printed up based on addresses not registered voters.
Patron Silver
Patron Silver Nov 08, 2020 10:33AM ET
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at the end of the day its still registered voters that voted. get off the conspiracy pot
Duncan Kwan
Duncan Kwan Nov 08, 2020 10:33AM ET
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26.5k tmr?
Andre Viparich
Andre Viparich Nov 08, 2020 10:30AM ET
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Go Biden, go Lula!!!
Jurgen Daub
Jurgen Daub Nov 08, 2020 10:30AM ET
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you have no clue what you are talking about
Stephen Corsaro
Stephen Corsaro Nov 08, 2020 10:28AM ET
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citizens don't own the US government. Businesses do. it was created that way. The USA is a business. The winner will be picked by businesses. Get over it and get back to investing.
 
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