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Whiplashed Wall Street struggles with mixed payrolls data

EconomyJan 07, 2022 04:46PM ET
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2/2 © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Monitors displaying the stock index prices and Japanese yen exchange rate against the U.S. dollar are seen after the New Year ceremony marking the opening of trading in 2022 at the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), amid the coronavirus disease (COVI 2/2

By Lawrence Delevingne

BOSTON (Reuters) -U.S. stocks and Treasury yields were mixed on Friday as investors digested payroll data and its potential impact on Federal Reserve policy in the final session of an already roller-coaster first trading week of the year.

U.S. employment rose by a less-than-expected 199,000 jobs last month as the impact of a resurgent pandemic bites, well below the 400,000 forecast by economists, but data for November was revised higher. The unemployment rate dropped to 3.9%, underscoring near full-employment.

"Seasonal adjustments, diverging surveys, and a volatile economic environment made this report a mess," Barry Gilbert, a strategist at LPL Financial (NASDAQ:LPLA) in Boston, wrote in a note. "It won’t divert the Fed from its current path, but any rate decision will be more focused on the data over the next several months."

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 4.81 points, or 0.01%, to 36,231.66, the S&P 500 lost 19.03 points, or 0.41%, to 4,677.02 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 144.96 points, or 0.96%, to 14,935.90.

Technology and growth shares eased as investors remained worried about the U.S. interest rate outlook, while consumer discretionary and technology sectors led the way lower on the S&P 500; financials extended recent gains.

It had already been a confusing week for stocks. After a start to 2022 marked by new highs, the mood changed on Wednesday after minutes from the Fed's December meeting signaled the central bank may have to raise interest rates sooner than expected.

Wall Street steadied by Thursday evening, though analysts at ING bank said the minutes were still reverberating across markets, driving bond yields higher, hitting growth stocks and supporting the dollar.

The MSCI All Country stock index was flat at 743.52 points, down nearly 2% from a record high on Tuesday. In Europe, the STOXX index was off 0.4% at 486.3 points, also off about 1.6% from a record high on Tuesday.

SUPPLY CONCERNS

Longer-dated Treasury yields rose anew on Friday but shorter-term government bonds declined after the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report. Analysts said the data was solid enough to keep the Fed on track to raise interest rates at its March meeting - or sooner.

"Today’s report should be eye-opening for the Fed as tight labor conditions are only going to exacerbate the building inflation problem," Charlie Ripley, senior investment strategist at Allianz (DE:ALVG) Investment Management in Minneapolis, said. "It would be surprising if the Fed is not contemplating a faster removal of policy accommodation at the January meeting."

The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes was last at 1.7673%, up from 1.7461% before the payrolls data.

Euro zone inflation rose unexpectedly last month to 5% from 4.9% in November, a record high for the currency bloc, though unlike the Fed, the European Central Bank says prices will ease enough this year to avoid the need for rate hikes.

The dollar was on track for its biggest daily percentage drop in six weeks on the heels of the jobs report seen as strong enough to keep the Fed's tightening path intact.

The dollar index fell 0.53% at 95.750, and was poised for its biggest drop since Nov. 26, when concerns about the Omicron COVID-19 variant began to rattle markets. Even with Friday's weakness, the dollar was still on track for a slight weekly gain, its first in three weeks.

Oil prices settled lower as the market weighed supply concerns from the unrest in Kazakhstan and outages in Libya against the mixed U.S. jobs report and its potential impact on Federal Reserve policy.

U.S. crude fell 0.52% to $79.05 per barrel and Brent was at $81.90, down 0.11% on the day, partially erasing gains earlier in the week. [O/R]

Spot gold stood at $1,795 an ounce, up slightly on the day after touching a two-week low of $1,788.25 on Thursday, as rising U.S. Treasury yields hurt demand for the non-interest bearing metal.

Bitcoin slumped as much as 5% on Friday to its lowest since late September, amid a broader sell-off for cryptocurrencies driven by concerns about tighter U.S. monetary policy.

Bitcoin was last down about 3% at $41,896 after touching $40,938, its lowest since Sept. 29, as the payrolls data fueled some bargain buying.

Whiplashed Wall Street struggles with mixed payrolls data
 

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Comments (11)
Shep De
Shep De Jan 09, 2022 9:57AM ET
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What was "the FEDs current path" before the Jobs report and after. Too many ambiguities here. I think, the report threatens FOUR rates this year and will improve with inflation data this week/next.
Manish Bot
Manish Bot Jan 07, 2022 11:12AM ET
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rala
Manish Bot
Manish Bot Jan 07, 2022 11:11AM ET
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sa nu
Chris Sundo
Chris Sundo Jan 07, 2022 3:29AM ET
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'investors' LOL. More like the Asian branches of American brokers and their man-made algos.
Steffen vdm
Steffen vdm Jan 07, 2022 1:58AM ET
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You read the article and you think "wow", you look at the data and you think "mwah.."
Adam Paine
Adam Paine Jan 07, 2022 1:33AM ET
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hang sang lost 20% last year. they have room to go up. we don't
Rian Budiman
Rian Budiman Jan 07, 2022 1:11AM ET
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help me, urgent
Jimmy Joseph
Jimmy Joseph Jan 06, 2022 10:59PM ET
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same article reused so many times
Sattar Langary
Sattar Langary Jan 06, 2022 10:39PM ET
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Biden has to do something about stocks. Investers seem to miss Trump with all the craziness...already.
Andrew Allen
Andrew Allen Jan 06, 2022 10:39PM ET
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The only thing the government can do with stocks is create a bubble, or make them lose value
Peter ONeill
Peter ONeill Jan 06, 2022 10:28PM ET
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Hardly can call a 0.3% increase a 'rally' - more 0 movement as awaits tomorrows numbers
 
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