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Bitcoin price today: Pullback is a result of profit taking - crypto expert

Published 04/02/2024, 05:13 AM
Updated 04/02/2024, 09:15 AM
© Reuters.

Investing.com -- Bitcoin fell sharply on Tuesday in early Asian trading as new economic data in the U.S. lifted the dollar to its highest level in more than four months.

The flagship cryptocurrency fell more than 4% in the past 24 hours to $65,174 by 09:10 ET (13:10 GMT). The downswing pushed Bitcoin price below the previous week's stable range of $68,000 to $72,000.

The dollar index, a measure of the U.S. dollar's strength against a basket of major currencies, crossed the 105 mark for the first time since mid-November, driven by an unexpected uptick in ISM manufacturing PMI figures for March.

The report showed the first increase in factory activity since September 2022, rising 2.5 points to 50.3 from February's 47.8.

This development, marking an end to 16 months of contraction, challenges the likelihood of imminent Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Key components such as new orders also returned to growth, and the prices index saw a significant increase to 55.8% from 52.5%.

Following this report, market expectations for Fed rate cuts have adjusted, with swap contracts now forecasting less than 65 basis points in reductions for the year, down from previous expectations, according to Bloomberg. Put simply, it reduces the odds of a Fed rate cut in June to below 50%.

A stronger dollar typically makes assets priced in dollars, such as Bitcoin and gold, more expensive and less attractive, potentially reducing demand. Moreover, a continuously strong dollar can lead to global financial tightening, reducing investors' appetite for risk assets.

"This (dollar) strength is an extension of the move seen late last week when the Federal Reserve's Christopher Waller delivered a less dovish speech," said Chris Turner, head of global markets at ING.

Bitcoin price drop sparks market-wide declines

The notable drop in Bitcoin price extended into crypto altcoins as well, with the likes of Ethereum, Solana, and Doge seeing even sharper declines.

"I am not surprised to see increased Bitcoin volatility as we approach the halving of Bitcoin emissions later in April. There was significant volatility as well when we approached the expected approval of Bitcoin ETF back in January," Ken Timsit, Cronos Labs Managing Director, told Investing.com.

Specifically, ether and Cardano’s ADA each slid more than 5% over the past 24 hours, while Solana’s SOL and Dogecoin tumbled over 7.8% and 10%, respectively.

The broader crypto market faced significant liquidations, with over $400 million in long positions being liquidated, compared to $85 million in short positions. 

"There are lots of automated trades and derivatives at play, which can trigger large temporary sell offs. However, the outlook for crypto adoption remains positive," Timsit added.

The total crypto market cap fell around 5.3% during the same period to $2.62 trillion, according to Coingecko data.

Crypto expert attributes pullback to profit taking from holders

Kristian Haralampiev, Structured Products Lead at Nexo, told Investing.com that today's pullback is most likely the result of profit-taking from holders.

"Cashing in at the top of the market has to be among every investor's goals," he said.

Citing Glassnode's data, Haralampiev noted that onchain metrics are showing "increased volumes to exchanges from holders with one specific cohort appearingly most active – short-term holders in profit."

"While the pull-back may be at odds with the common expectation for Bitcoin to simply rip right through all-time highs, it’s also an excellent opportunity for market entry for late bulls before the bitcoin halving."

Still, Haralampiev is not ruling out a deeper pullback in Bitcoin price. 

"When looking ahead, the put/call ratio moved further in favor of the puts, suggesting that the options market is open to the concept of a further pullback occurring," he concluded. 

Latest comments

Bitcoin will grow up at midnight to 70.1k
Rates are getting cut people the FED has zero justification to keep them over 2X the inflation rate. Swaps market is predicting less cuts then the FEDS own projections lol
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