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UBS raises JD.com stock target on solid Q1 performance

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 05/18/2024, 04:57 PM
JD
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On Friday, UBS reaffirmed its confidence in the e-commerce giant JD.com, Inc (NASDAQ:JD), by raising its price target to $40.00, up from the previous $37.00, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. The adjustment reflects the company's strong performance in the first quarter, with a particular emphasis on its double-digit Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) growth and resilience in April sales.

JD.com's general merchandise category was highlighted as a key driver of growth, accelerating to an 8.6% year-over-year increase, compared to just a 0.2% rise in the fourth quarter of 2023. This trend is expected to continue, bolstered by a solid foundation established after recent business optimizations. The electronics segment showed a mixed outlook, with strong demand in mobile phones and home appliances, but this was somewhat tempered by a weaker performance in the PC market.

The company's approach to third-party (3P) merchant monetization was also noted. Although not a current priority, marketplace revenue is anticipated to grow from the second quarter onwards, as JD.com had rebased its revenue after providing subsidies on commissions to 3P merchants since the second quarter of 2023. Additionally, advertising revenue growth is expected to accelerate as the number of merchants on the platform expands.

Margin performance for JD Retail (JDR) was better than expected in the first quarter, with margins reaching 4.1%, a slight decline of 0.5 percentage points year-over-year. This was primarily attributed to improved Gross Profit Margin (GPM) across all categories and enhanced fulfillment efficiency.

Finally, JD.com's commitment to shareholder returns was underscored by its aggressive share buyback program. The company has repurchased $1.3 billion worth of shares year-to-date, which has reduced the net share count by 2.7%. With an unused buyback program worth $2.3 billion and a net cash position of $20 billion, excluding subsidiaries, JD.com continues to demonstrate its ability to deliver value to its shareholders.

InvestingPro Insights

UBS's recent price target increase for JD.com is supported by the company's robust financial health and market performance. According to InvestingPro data, JD.com holds a market capitalization of $52.44 billion and is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 15.33, which adjusts to an even more attractive 12.67 when considering the last twelve months as of Q4 2023. This suggests that the company is trading at a low price-to-earnings ratio relative to its near-term earnings growth, an InvestingPro Tip that may interest value-oriented investors.

The company's revenue growth also remains steady, with a 3.67% increase over the last twelve months as of Q4 2023. This growth is consistent with the positive outlook on JD.com's GMV and sales resilience as highlighted by UBS. Another InvestingPro Tip points out that JD.com has demonstrated strong returns over the last three months, with a total price return of 45.44%, which aligns with the positive sentiment surrounding the stock.

For investors seeking further insights, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available that delve into aspects such as the company's cash position, gross profit margins, and analysts' earnings revisions. To explore these tips and make informed investment decisions, consider subscribing to InvestingPro using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. With 11 more tips available, investors can gain a comprehensive understanding of JD.com's investment potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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