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Gold / Silver / Copper Prices - Weekly Outlook: August 20 - 24

CommoditiesAug 19, 2018 06:13AM ET
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© Reuters. Strong dollar likely to remain a headwind for gold

Investing.com - Gold prices look likely to remain under pressure this week as a combination of a stronger dollar and higher Treasury yields make the precious metal less attractive to investors.

Gold has also struggled as its inverse relationship to the firmer dollar has outweighed safe haven demand.

On Wednesday investors will get the chance to parse through the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s August meeting, when it left interest rates unchanged and indicated that it remains on track for additional rate hikes this year.

Investors will be on the lookout for any tweaks to the Fed’s outlook on inflation, the economy and trade war fears.

On Friday, Jerome Powell is to make his first appearance as Fed chairman at the annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole. The conference will be closely scrutinized for clues to the monetary policy direction of some of the world’s most important central banks.

Geopolitical risks will also remain in focus this week, with the U.S. expected to impose fresh sanctions on Russia on Wednesday. On Thursday, Washington is expected to slap 25% tariffs on an additional $16 billion of Chinese imports, to which Beijing has threatened to retaliate in kind.

Gold futures pushed higher on Friday, but still ended the week down 2.86%, the largest weekly decline since early May 2017. December gold futures settled up 0.66% at $1,191.80 on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.

On Thursday, prices settled at $1,176.20, the lowest level since early January 2017.

Gold gained ground as the dollar fell against a currency basket, retreating from a 13-month high hit earlier in the week as worries over trade tensions between the U.S. and China eased.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six major currencies, was down 0.50% at 96.00 late Friday, the largest one day decline in almost a month.

Market sentiment was boosted by news that Beijing is set to resume trade talks with Washington this week, although at a lower level than previously. It will be the first round of trade talks since June and could be a step towards easing trade tensions between the world’s two largest economies.

Gold prices are down around 10.8% so far this year, pressured lower by the stronger dollar and rising interest rates. Investors have also shunned the precious metal despite an escalation in global trade tensions, indicating that gold may be losing its safe haven status.

Elsewhere in precious metals trading, silver settled up 0.42% at $14.775 a troy ounce, for a weekly loss of 4.26%. Platinum settled at $788.10, 0.46% higher for the day, to end the week up 0.91%.

Among base metals, copper ended at $2.660, up 1.66% for the day, trimming its weekly loss to 3.95%.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, August 20

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic is to speak at an event in Tennessee.

Tuesday, August 21

The Reserve Bank of Australia is to publish the minutes of its latest policy setting meeting.

The UK is to report on public sector borrowing figures.

Wednesday, August 22

New Zealand is to report on retail sales.

Later in the day, Canada is to publish retail sales figures.

The U.S. is to produce data on existing home sales and the Fed is to publish the minutes of its August meeting.

Thursday, August 23

The euro zone is to release data on manufacturing and service sector activity.

The European Central Bank is to publish the minutes of its latest policy setting meeting.

Central bankers and economists are to gather in Jackson Hole, Wyoming for the first day of a three day event.

Friday, August 24

The U.S. is to release data on durable goods orders.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is to speak at the Jackson Hole Symposium.

Gold / Silver / Copper Prices - Weekly Outlook: August 20 - 24
 

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