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Nikkei 225 Mini Futures - Feb 24

Tokyo
Symbol
Exchange
Currency
JP225DerivedJPY
SSIc1SingaporeJPY
JNMc1TokyoJPY
SSIc3SingaporeJPY
SSIc2SingaporeJPY
SSIc4SingaporeJPY
JNMc2TokyoJPY
JNMc3TokyoJPY
NKc2CMEUSD
NKc1CMEUSD
Currency in JPY
Disclaimer
37,830.00
+235.00(+0.63%)
Closed

Nikkei 225 Futures Discussions

Japan just said Higher CPI and lower growth. 😳 🤣
Even elementary school students know that they had to raise interest rates this month to catch the yen. They are too late, and so will be the case this year. kkkkk .etf stock 3x leverage go~ .
Interest rate only 0.1 now after raised. Tiny amount.....
It looks like they've intervened. But this is only a short term impact and still yen will be a poop price.(this year.interest rate same.kkkk.)
Issues associated with trade between Japan and China could impact profits by some Japanese tech companies that sell to China. Hence, that is yet another potential negative for this index. Also, Japanese companies that source their manufacturing or some part of it to Chinese companies, I imagine, could run into difficulties as a result of the above if tit for tat results between the two countries. Again, that is yet another negative for this tech heavy index. Third, if China and others, like Hong Kong and Singapore continue to improve economically, all of the hot money that moved out of China and into Japan could go in reverse. Hence, be careful about buying or holding this index, or any Japanese stocks. A falling market for these reasons often sinks all boats.
People so eager to downvote me--fine. But what evidence is there that Japan is a good buy? I have heard people saying Japanese stocks are undervalued, but that is not the case overall. The truth is, yeah, there are undervalued stocks in Japan, sure. But overall the market is a bubble. The CAPE and market cap to GDP clearly show that. Also, talk about corporate governance and all of that--it is nothing new. That narrative is a recycled one from more than ten years ago, and Japan is very very slow to change--and it did not change much ten years ago, and wont now. So there you go. If you do have evidence there is good reason for buying Japan, let's have it.
Why get so upset over downvotes? The votes doesn't put bread and butter on your table. I wouldn't pay too much attention to the votes. The index is heavily manipulated as in all market. If u trade purely based on economics facts and policies then u are most likely to be disappointed. As u have said there are strong untouchable forces behind all the drama.
I am not upset. Instead I am pointing out that there is little good in disliking an opinion without good reason. If there are ANY solid ressons for being bullish on thus index I’d like to know about them. I can not think of a single one.
Much as I explained only hours ago, the drop was bound to happen--and it could happen again. Yet another selling of US dollars in exchange for yen would cause a carry trade reversal. Expect more drops in the near term. I would also expect the BOJ is interested in selling more of its ETF position, and that the rotation out of tech will continue all providing major headwinds in addition to this being a bubble. Good luck if you are long this, but there are strong forces against you.
Exciting Great wild swings!‼️
A weak yen is good for Japan in some ways but it is also very problematic for the domestic economy. Japan exports a lot, but it also imports food and oil. A weak yen makes input costs a lot higher for a lot of goods. A lot of Japanese are also very unhappy with the government because a weak yen means they cannot travel abroad, and have to pay very high prices for imported goods. There are also companies in Japan that import from abroad, and they are currently losing a lot of money because of a weak yen. Hence it is not as clear cut as you suggest.
Furthermore, a strong dollar and weak yen hurts US companies that export to Japan, and hurts domestic companies in the US because they have to compete with cheaper and more profitable imports from Japan. Hence, I doubt the US government is very happy about a weak yen and it may even make for trade tensions between Japan and the US.
Or if not tensions, coordinated efforts to reverse the problem.
33600
33200 maybe
See its came down. ...enjoyyyyy
AGAIN negative HAHAHA ENJOY
I'd key an eye on dollar yen. There are major short positions on the yen. So if the Ministry of Finance were to well dollars and buy yen they might be able to stop out a lot of those short poitions and create a short squeeze. If that happened the carry trade would begin to unwind. Put another way those who borrowed yen to buy stocks would have to sell stocks to repay the loans. That whole process would cause stocks to potentially fall big and fast. So I'd be very careful in this market if you are long this index.
keep* an eye on / sell* dollars
I'd also be aware that the Nikkei 225 is very tech heavy, and the rotation out of tech at this point in the cycle has already begun. That means this index is going to go down and the top is already in.
Downvoted and yet I was exactly correct, as the big drop shows.
interest rate same. kkkkk. never change. stock is increase. yen is poor. 3x leverage 600% revenue kkk. boj always buy stock and make yen. today 1yen=0.0062 kkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk
There is no chance of change, at least this year.kkkkkkkkkkk
The Japanese government is so heavily indebted that the BOJ cannot raise rates to strengthen its currency. Hence, I wonder if they have to implement austerity. I wonder what austerity would do to the Japanese stock market.
Raise rate to 2%??? Please dont mislead others.....
I'm not misleading anyone. I'm just saying if the BOJ had the will to raise rates it could easily afford to do that. And it could do it by cutting costs and balancing its budget. If it wanted to it could trim government staff, raise taxes on alcohol and tobacco, etc, for example. Will it though? I dunno really. It would obviously take the will to do it, but seeing as both the BOJ and government of Japan make no sense to me, I doubt they will suddenly change their profligate and futile ways.
Japan is also incredibly slow to do what it should, if it even ever does. So relax. That said, a hike to 2% would bring it out of its endless crisis mode, help banks that have been begging it to raise rates, give savers a return on savings, and make the government more careful about its spending. Just my opinion.
This is possibly going to the 32k-34k range before a sizable bounce, in my estimation. Lower highs again are appearing, much as when this fell from ATHs. Also, dont trust my estimation, do your own DD. Also, I strongly doubt we will see any more all time highs for a long long time. GLTA.
interest rate same. kkkkk. never change. stock is increase. yen is poor. 3x leverage 600% revenue kkk. boj always buy stock and make yen.
It's looking good so far. Bought in Japanese stocks when this hit hard. Could be wrong.
Nice when inflation numbers portend a deflationary bust incoming. That is what you get when you use printing, low interest rates, the endless propping up of zombie companies and the monetization of government debt vs fiscal responsibility and cleansing the system as your main economic engine. Nice work, nice tinkering BOJ!
U think way too much bro ‼️
Your way of thinking is too complicated..just saying..
Put simply, I think we are going to get deflation and a crash in the US, and also in Japan. It is only a matter of time now.
Foreign holders of Japanese stocks must beel like they are taking gut shots from Mike Tyson with this index and the yen double whammy. Funny the wonderful experts at the big banks like UBS are still saying Japan is a great investment. Where were these guys when the Nikkei was half the price and nobody could be paid to buy Japanese stocks. Lol.
The only difference between now and then is stocks are double the price, anyone who listens to UBS and these other experts has missed the entire rally, and they are probably going to lose half their money if they trust these people.
Short 37500 and below puts premium is high. Target price 0.
Here is something for anyone considering buying or holding this index. If you look at the incline from late last year and to the high you will see that that is a classic blow off top. What it suggests is that a big decline is now underway and will continue probably until this index is actually cheap--which would be in the 12k to 15k range by my estimate. And it will likely even go lower than that in my opinion. That is all. GLTA.
37500 , 37200 be ready in waterfall 🔥
37500 coming be ready 🔥🔥
Fresh buy 37900-950
I'd tread carefully if you want to buy. Japan's extremely weak currency could cause a crisis--or so that is what I have heard. That said, I have no numbers or information about specifics. Then again, if you have bought Japanese stocks, you are now seeing not only a falling stock market, but also a falling currency--which could mean very big losses--and the need to sell now or soon.
-2% drop tonight
never change. stock is increase. yen is poor. 3x leverage 600% revenue kkk. boj always buy stock and make yen.
30 years. It will last another 30 years.kkkkkkk 45000 go~
It is widely known that the BOJ has officially ended its policy of buying ETFs. It was also recently made public that the BOJ has been SELLING stocks on its balance sheet--and for months now. Furthermore, it would make no sense for the BOJ to continue to buy stocks that the numbers clearly show are overvalued.
The top is in too. Tech is already falling, and this index is tech heavy. I think it is safe to assume that this index will continue moving down over the next while, and that it could easily be another 30 years or more before we see another all time high.
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