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Nikkei 225 Futures - Dec 24

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Nikkei 225 Futures Discussions

Besides this being one of the biggest bubbles ever in history, judging by market cap vs GDP, you now have an incoming doublefold hit to exporter profits. One from a flagging US economy, hence the incoming rate cuts, and second due to a stronger yen--which will mean less profits when repatriated to yen. In a nutshell, if you are a trapped bull, these stocki prices may not occur again for a few more decades. GLTA.
F jp225
I think this is the expected correction. Looks like 32000 is the bottom, in this case. USD/JPY 138. Break of these numbers might indicate something is totally wrong. Lets see
…or a healthy correction !
exit over 5% crack
why this much of fall
Because japan gov buying yen and nasdaq crash pull this down...
pop or just squeeze
So nikkei high is 42k and bubble burst?
If the yen/dollar starts falling then exporters are going to be looking at hits to profits. But remember, if you short, there are players looking to squeeze you just for fun. GLTA.
Let's play squeeze the shorts. And when that gets boring, about about some distort the market for extra fun.
Even if the interest rate exceeds 3%, my opinion is different. However, I will only invest with 3x leverage for now. The yen goes to shit and stocks rise.kk😁😁
46000 and then 5400 will be so funny...
5400 wpuld be ww3
Chucky come out and talking aht again..lets see.. when Up he disappears..when down talking sht 🤣
even though today wipe out yesterday gain.. this still stand above 41k.. short term still looking bullish..
The US had a negative reading on CPI. That's portends an incoming interest rate cut which will weaken the US dollar and then hit profits of exporters. And Japan had a MINUS 2.9% fall in annualized GDP recently. I guess it's more squeezing the shorts here than anyone buying for fundamentals if this rises. GLTA.
the syndicates will pump up for their holdings distribution before the sell down..
Yup. Probably spot on there. Pump and dump and with a big lot of future bagholders incoming.
Recent panic buyers crushed. :O
I wish them luck with their emotional dilemma.
Maybe sell and buy AMD with its 250+ PER. That is about as good a deal as with this index.
Bubble burst
not so soon... rise too much last few days, syndicate unload some holdings meanwhile to shake off the weak holders.. soon will be another round of hike...
Not yet, there will still be two higher highs - app. 43200 and 44600
*43200 a 46000
Oversold. Time to rally u again today
Yen is even lower, it should rally right
This is what the BOJ wanted. A huge bubble. And now it will get to deal with what happens when the one it created singlehandedly burts. And with it having rates already virtually at zero, with its balance sheet already massive, with the government debt levels already extreme, not to mention the population falling, and GDP shrinking and profits crashing.
the penultimate chapter of buy the dip
When the US cuts rates the rate differential will shrink, for one. That will mean the yen carry trade will be less profitable and more risky. That will mean a reverse will get underway--that is a strengthening of the yen and weakening of the US dollar will occur. If you dont follow, picture this. You borrowed yen because you could borrow it at an ultra low interest rate. And you bought US dollars and treasuries with it. But now, the yen is getting more expensive. And as it does, it means that every day you delay buying back the yen you borrowed it rises in value making it more and more costly by the day to buy back. So you and everyone else in the trade catch on to this together and you all grow worried. Now if you are an exporter to the US you have enjoyed incredible profits because whatever profits you had in US dollars start to shrink at least two ways. The US economy is getting worse so your sales fall. And when you repatiate your profits to yen, you get less yen because the yen is more expensive. So that is a double whammy to exporters to the US.
I would point to market cap to GDP as the best indicator of stock valuations. And this number is currently in the stratosphere for Japan. That means that the Japanese stock market is indeed not only in bubble territory, but to an excessive degree.
People ignore such numbers in the throws of trend following. They also ignore it in the throws of excessive greed and euphoria. If you know much about herd behavior it helps to get a grip on such concepts. I would point to Warren Bruffet and Benjamin Graham as the sources of my thinking and philosophy regarding markets. That is all. Good luck to you and the naysayers who consistently downvote my posts. But the information is all there if you read enough. And I have read in the four digits of numbers of books about stocks and anything and everything I have gotten my hands on in relation for multiple decades. Dont listen to me though if you dont believe it. Good luck to you.
So now buy the dip or sell Japan?
It will go back again today
time to sell Nikkei and buy Hang Seng...
The Hang Seng is undervalued and this is overvalued. The Hang Seng has NO risk long term even if it falls. At least on this basis. Put another way the Hang Seng has a huge margin of safety, whereas this index does not—the exact opposite in fact—meaning the Nikkei is a crash waiting to happen—and with little chance of recovery after that.
the problem now is the US ally with the West and Japan to suppress China.. the global economy is jeapordise by the US
i said it's all about usd.jpy
Why is Japan dropping? It will never hit 43k this way
because weak yen is everything for this shitty index
Interest rates have not changed since 2016. Stocks continue to rise. Yen becomes shit. kk😁😁
Even if the interest rate exceeds 3%, my opinion is different. However, I will only invest with 3x leverage for now.
Do we get to see 43000 or 41000 first?
43k first
46k is my final number this year
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