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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

NASDAQ
Symbol
Exchange
Currency
TLTNASDAQUSD
TLTMexicoMXN
Currency in USD
Disclaimer
87.78
-0.62(-0.70%)
Closed
Pre Market
88.18+0.40(+0.46%)

TLT Comments

going lower folks
It’s ok I am holding till maturity
... No maturity on TLT and you'll need to know that fact at some point down the road. As an example, when TLT moves +5% in a month, that's actually about 1 year's interest on a 30-year Treasury bought a couple weeks ago. It's also about 5-times the amount the etf was buying when the 30 was yielding 1%. Think how As each week passes, the etf manager (holding to maturity) a 30-year, gets it called at par, then takes that money and buys same $ amount at CURRENT $/yield. For the TLT long, it's perpetual.
Yes but we are heading into recession. Long duration bond yields won't remain bullish for too much longer
SHY $80.98 -0.15% @ Close!
TLT $87.50 -2.30% @ Close! Nov 24 $90 C traded heavy at 2,953 contracts to finish $0.47.
30 year auction was terrible today. Low demand, big banks bought a 1/4 of it.
Let's hope they wrote some Nov 24 $90 Calls for +$0.90/contract to enhance their yield! Heck ... maybe some big banks were overly short and didn't expect yield to fall back below 5%. The plot thickens. Great info!
92 maybe next year
See Nov 2 post. Is your $92 adding some allotment, or is $92 the new $88?
TLT $87.38 -2.48% @ 01:00 PM ET ... The Nov 24 $90 C sold for $1.26 are $0.77. (see notes)
TLT $89.56 +1.70% @ Close!
End of the rally projected by early next week; looks closer to tomorrow/Thurs. Then weakness next week.
10y auction today and 30y tommorow but the ten should offer enough of a clue today as to weather or not this is getting off the bottom.
And it did. Between House Speaker led government shutdown expected on Nov. 17, and the large scale auctions forced on Treasury due to House budget inaction Aug.-Oct. during debt ceiling and Speaker fights, yields will press higher. Probably won't get severe until closer to Nov. 17 shutdown, heading into Thanksgiving holiday and Congressional (House majority specifically) inaction, all because of fringe Congressional districts who are unwilling to work in bipartisan manner.
only go up ONLY GO UP
TLT $86.78 -0.97% @ Close! Nov 24 $90 C finish $0.46. (see notes)
SHY $81.06 -0.18% @ Close!
TLT $87.63 +0.68% @ Friday Close! The Nov 24 $90 C sold for $1.26 @ open finish $0.81. Please note the are what I consider partially covered by full position shy long ~4 months ago. TLT is riskiest part of the curve and best premiums.
WaveTech 2.0 indicators show on 4-hour PPM and MA* charts the high for Nov. and Dec. is most likely between today and this coming Monday, but if you narrow down to intraday 30-minute (interval per period or tickmark) chart, you see peak buying pressure was within first hour of today's session. So I added TLT puts for Jan. exp. and have cash should TLT move higher and put price lower, b/c unfortunately for US gov't, tax payers, mortgage borrowers, and bond holders, the yield is projected to resume its rise and TLT price fall. But from an income perspective, and lender's perspective, yields are increasingly attractive. And yield curve steepening is healthy for financial markets. As with all model forecasting--whether in markets, weather, storm path, or traffic congestion projections, the further out the forecast, the less reliable, but that's what's projected as of now. *PPM: price pressure momentum. MA: moving average.
Puts look pricey as do calls. Sell OTM calls. $90's against my SHY long.
That's probably a better strategy in hindsight. First, b/c selling calls is lower risk, and you can make money even if TLT moves sideways instead of lower. Plus, I was looking at some other charts, and while all my intraday momentum charts indicate downward price move happening by 2nd half of next week, the daily chart doesn't forecast a roll over in daily moving avg. until mid Nov. In this situation, selling options is usually better move. I'll have to reevaluate things if by next Friday I don't see a reversal. Thankfully I bought Feb. exp. so plenty of time to figure out. Also two traders who've made millions and have paid subscribers follow their recommendations both advised selling to close their TLT calls that were bought on anticipation of the oversold bounce and FOMC announcing a pause. The weaker jobs report was just an unexpected bonus.
... We'll see. Sold the TLT Nov 24 $90 for $1.26 @ open.
TLT $87.08 +2.32% @ 11:00 AM ET
Gotta watch that narrow blue band.
88 max and goodbye
TLT $88.06 +1.17% @ 02:05 PM ET
TLT $89.56 +1.70% @ Close!
$90.25
CYA $1.38 -33.33% @ 09:36 AM ET .... So long TechTrend Trades!
short squeeze imminent in stock and bond mkts, by friday it will cover gap around 86, i see this at 90 in short order
TLT $85.10 +2.17% @ Close!
TLT $84.64 +1.62% @ 02:39 PM ET ... Today was ex-dividend of $0.28629/unit.
Short here. She's done
TLT $85.00 +2.05% @ 10:39 AM ET
TLT $83.58 -0.49% @ Close!
Someone dumped on halloween
I am Bond. James Bond.
TLT $84.73 +1.53% @ Close! Ackman lights a cigar.
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