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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

Mexico
Currency in MXN
Disclaimer
1,504.00
-6.00(-0.40%)
Delayed Data

TLT Comments

Red again. Nothing to see here 😴
Red sea, oil prices , Baltimore Bridge what that spells inflation up tlt down.
time to fly baby
IN. Bottomed! Top holdings: PLATINUM, SILVER, GOLD, BABA and now TLT
Forgot to include my biggest holding: URANIUM
IN. Bottomed!
82
This is that dip I mentioned on Monday, where daily chart showed an oversold bounce after Monday selling that's followed with more weakness around Thursday per daily charts, which means the weakness could begin or end one period either way, in this case starting earlier. WaveTech daily chart indicates selling fades around Friday, with a rally starting early next week. The 3-hour (half session) momentum projection doesn't look as positive for Friday, more like sideways and maybe modest clawback, but it too shows improvement over next week. So I exited my TLT puts in the first hour to take advantage of VIX options premium, and will add TLT calls on lower lows in anticipation of profits next week.
this is stuck in a wedge right now. maybe able to break out of the wedge on the first rate cut, otherwise in purgatory.
maybe the yield curve will normalize when the frb stops selling assets which could be next meeting. This would make long term bonds more attractive.
As explained on 4/4 here in reply to another's comment, WaveTech forecasts a reversal in downtrend to uptrend begin after some more pain tomorrow/Tuesday morning and again on Thursday. Next week looks bullish per weekly and daily charts' forward looking price pressure momentum. So I'm buying the lower lows this week unless the forecast changes, and it hasn't for weeks. Liquidity weakness in risk assets like cryptos and bonds, and even in bonds, was expected heading into USA Tax Day, April 15.
Update as of 3:40pm EST Monday, it looks like the weakness forecasted for Thursday will be a higher low than Tuesday morning's low. I'll be buying the Tuesday dip and taking profits sometime in the second half of April, based on current 3-hour (half day), daily and weekly WaveTech chart projections.
Back to 82 lol
Bought in august 2023, sold at breakeven today, this is going nowhere. "Stock rising on softening inflation and rate cuts hopes', of course, and bonds are falling like a rock.
Oh it's going somewhere. You got screwed because of the House GOP Speakership turmoil last Sept.-Oct. and the gov't shutdown threats that ensued, causing stocks and bonds to plunge late summer and early fall. But the trend since that oversold manmade debacle has been higher prices and lower yields, but with some consolidation in April. WaveTech indicators warned us of this on daily charts, but weekly charts indicate the rally in bonds resumes by mid May. What's important to recognize is the yield is good for an almost 'risk free' asset, and the long term capital appreciation makes it attractive. That's not just intuitive; that's what financial advisors have pointed out every time yields rise like they did earlier this week and probably will peak short term next week before the volatility subsides some and another short term bottom is formed over coming few weeks. I use weakness to add shares, being aware price could fall to upper $80s. Over past two days, WaveTech has being less bearish than it was in first half of week, but it still shows weakness in first half of week, and then another retreat around Thursday. When bad days happen, but the overall forecast is intact, best ignore the market and let it past. This consolidation phase will past, just like the last one Matt Goetz and krewe caused.
clarification to above: 'first half of week' = first half of NEXT week
Gold and big tech pricing rate cuts in, bonds and small caps pricing unchanged rates or rate hikes i think.
TLT $93.98 +0.96% at Friday Close!
TLT $92.89 -0.03% at Close! (Fed leaves rates unch at 5.25-5.50%)
Won't sell here, don't care. It goes down every day, hour and minute.
TLT $0.295/Unit dividend paid 3/07/24
Useless investment. You may get money back in 20 years. Who knows 🤷
Investers will always get their US$ back, those US$ might not have any value.
TLT $94.09 -0.40% at close!
sold off for a reason. what's this reason?
its the "space maker" trade. I figured it out. It makes room for the next trade.
TLT $94.18 +0.71% at 02/29/24 close!
Bears about to get fully fart fisted it seems my dear friends
Down erry day
As certain as the sun will rise 🤣
This move was funny!
-5.8% YTD performance, so it lost already twice as it pays for a year.
... I'm talking 3T's Oct 28 short and months of dividends he owes until he confesses his mistakes and apologizes to Ackman and myself.
You must prepare for the case if he's not apologize.
The last employment reports were a huge lie. Zero Hedge has great stats on the real jobs situation.
as long as rate cuts happen, the debt will be refinanced so selling stocks because of timing may be a relatively weak strategy.
...
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