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US Cotton #2 Futures - Mar 17 (CTH7)

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73.00 +0.31    +0.43%
20/01 - Closed. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type: Commodity
Group: Agriculture
Unit: 1 Pound

  • Prev. Close: 72.69
  • Open: 72.83
  • Day's Range: 72.75 - 73.42
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US Cotton #2 73.00 +0.31 +0.43%

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Latest US Cotton #2 Comments

Francisco D Anconia
HankRearden Jan 20, 2017 11:39AM GMT
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I'll share my thoughts here in a minute, let me get my coffee...
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Francisco D Anconia
HankRearden Jan 20, 2017 12:28PM GMT
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If one was to pull up a chart of Gold and look at last year's high price, the net long positions were at an all time high and still not able to take Gold above the 1400 level and you see how terrible of a decline followed. Markets depend very simply on one rule, can one side sell more or buy more than the other side. If the buyers can buy more then the sellers can sell then the demand has exceeded the supply and will rise. When a market is in a position where demand(buyers) are at an all time high level and no big gains are really able to be made, one must question if the buyers can really buy more than the sellers can sell. Obviously we're not at a breaking point, but what happens if/when the buyers give up and sell out? Or better yet, what happens if the buyers turn into sellers, increasing the selling positions? These are thing to think of and consider if one is looking at Cotton from a longer term view. Above 70 cents should be true into end of month and below 74 should aswel
Aayush Agrawal
Aayush Agrawal Jan 20, 2017 3:55PM GMT
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hi hank i am regular cotton trader and i also have a physical cotton business. The 11 month cycle you ave mentioned i totally agree with you. according to my analysis i think a top is made and i think cotton can come down from there. if you mix fundamentals then i should tell you the production of the cotton worldwide is more than last year and stock to use ratio of mills using cotton has also gone down which will be bearish for cotton. even cotlook index ( index of cotton price ) i think has made its peak of 83 cents and is now around 81 cents.this is the fundamental outlook and the technical outlook i have posted in my earlier comment. really appreciate your comment though.
Salman Maqbool
Salman Maqbool Jan 20, 2017 4:04PM GMT
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In india perspective USDA took 10.94 million bales of 480Lbs as beginning stock.... so I totally disagree production stats given by USDA
Aayush Agrawal
Aayush Agrawal Jan 20, 2017 4:10PM GMT
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according to elliot wave i think it is going to head lower as the 77 percent Fibonacci level which is 75.6 is already tested and it will go down. i am gonna post a picture of my analysis too to explain properly.
Francisco D Anconia
HankRearden 22 hours ago
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Would love to see the charts. As of right now today's topping angle held, Monday I would expect to see a decline. The question is can we break below 71.69 / 71.92. Very strong levels of support now....I'll update my outlook for the week ahead over the weekend after I have to time digest all of this week's data. Have good weekend everyone.
Aayush Agrawal
Aayush Agrawal Jan 20, 2017 8:53AM GMT
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According to elliot wave analysis the b wave of the 2 wave retraced 77 percent and touched 75.6. This is the zig zag pattern and according to that the c wave will be equal to wave a and therefore cotton can touch 62 cents. This is a long term call and it will achieve the target till march
Aydincan Tanis
Aydincan Tanis Jan 19, 2017 11:41PM GMT
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gents, i am also able to do some technical BUT i just want to express that pls look at the bigger picture for cotton. 5 million bales of usa ending stocks will send the market below 60 sooner or later. be careful
Guru Dayal
Guru Dayal Jan 20, 2017 4:45AM GMT
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u r from....
Aydincan Tanis
Aydincan Tanis Jan 20, 2017 5:06PM GMT
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turkey
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