Join +750K new investors every month who copy stock picks from billionaire's portfoliosSign Up Free

Yen Gains On Yields Drop, U.S. GDP Up Next

Published 10/28/2021, 01:53 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
GBP/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
USD/CAD
-
NZD/USD
-
DX
-
US10YT=X
-

by Adam Button

The US dollar made some headway on Tuesday and economic data pointed at more to come. Bond yields fell sharply across the curve, lifted the yen across the board, while NZD and GBP were the weakest. Real 10-year bond yields fell further to -1.10%, highlighting that inflation expectations remained ahead of nominal yields. 

The first look at US Q3 GDP will be released on Thursday and it's likely to be a dud, but the market is now focused on the strength of the rebound in Q4 and beyond. Data on Tuesday was encouraging with US consumer confidence rising to 113.8 from 108.3. The Richmond Fed climbed to +12 from +3 expected. Housing is also growing into a tailwind once again with new home sales at 800K versus 760K expected.

The mood in markets overall continues to improve and we're headed toward the risk-positive seasonal period through year end. Commodities continued to attract a solid bid despite mixed messages from China.

Looking ahead, the tone for central banks in the coming months might have been set by the Bank of Canada yesterday. Recent Canadian data has been strong and the BOC is undoubtedly tuned into the global inflation debate along with the Canadian tailwind from commodities and the potential risks around housing.

The OIS market is pricing in nearly four rate hikes in 2022 and the BOC will have to either acknowledge it or push back. Given the inflationary winds, it will be tough to push back and that could boost the loonie. Alternatively, the 1.2420 trendline resistance from the September high has capped USD/CAD despite multiple attempts to break it. 

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.