Trading Amazon.com: Alternative Strategies

Published 10/09/2019, 12:24 PM

If you think it will rise or fall and you want to trade Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) shares, first off you will need a lot of cash. With AMZN trading at $1705 a share, buying 100 shares will require you to pony up $170,050. Selling short 100 shares will also require a substantial margin deposit (not to mention the assumption of unlimited risk). There are alternatives.

One trader might look at Figure 1 and see a security that is completing 5 waves down and is due for a rally.

AMZN with Elliott Wave with potentially bullish Elliott Wave count

Courtesy ProfitSource by HUBB

Another trader might look at Figure 2 and see a security that is breaking down below its 200-day moving average and is due for a decline.

AMZN with potentially bearish configuration vis a vis 200-day MS

Courtesy ProfitSource by HUBB

In any event, in Figure 3 we can see that implied volatility for AMZN options is not super low but it is also towards the lower end of the historical range. This can afford the, ahem, less affluent trader some potential opportunities.

AMZN with implied option volatility

Courtesy OptionsAnalysis.com

AMZN OTM call calendar details
AMZN OTM call calendar risk curves
AMZN OTM put calendar details
AMZN OTM put calendar risk curves

OTM Calendar Spreads

For the bullish trader, Figures 4 and 5 highlight an out-of-the-money (heretofore, OTM) call calendar spread.Courtesy OptionsAnalysis.comCourtesy OptionsAnalysis.comThis hypothetical trade (NOT a recommendation, only an example):*Costs only $564 to enter (which represents the maximum risk)*Has significant upside potential if AMZN moves back towards its previous high*Max % profit to Max % risk = 1,032%For the bearish trader, Figures 6 and 7 highlight an out-of-the-money (heretofore, OTM) call calendar spread.Courtesy OptionsAnalysis.com Courtesy OptionsAnalysis.comThis hypothetical trade (NOT a recommendation, only an example):*Costs only $700 to enter (which represents the maximum risk)*Has significant profit potential if AMZN moves back towards its previous low*Max % profit to Max % risk = 731%

Summary

The trades highlighted above are NOT “recommended” trades. They are simply examples of one way to trade a high-priced stock that offer large profit potential and much less dollar risk than that associated with buying and holding shares of stock.

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