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Forex Technical Analysis

By DeltastockApr 29, 2008 08:00PM ET
www.investing.com/analysis/technical/forex-technical-analysis-6623
Forex Technical Analysis
By Deltastock   |  Apr 29, 2008 08:00PM ET
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EUR/USD
Current level-1.5597

The pair is in a downtrend from the short-term top at 1.6019.  Technical indicators on the 4 h. chart are falling and are still above the oversold zone. Important support is seen at 1.5497-5532, followed by the previous month's low at 1.5341. Trading is situated above the 50- and 200- day SMA , currently projected at 1.5534 and 1.4606.
    
The market is ranging , expecting  today's FED interest rate decision, that will be announced at 14:15 NYT. Initial support comes at 1.5535 and 1.5694 has capped the upside for today.  Intraday we expect the pair to rise in a corrective mode towards 1.5661, before reversing for the final test of the 1.5497 support. The strategy for today is trading the upward channel from 1.5535 , establishing longs around 1.5576 with a risk limit below 1.5551 and an intraday target at 1.5643.

resistance
support
intradayintraweek
1.56941.5807
1.58071.60-sentiment
intradayintraweek
1.55351.5497
1.54971.5341

---------------------

USD/JPY

Current level - 103.77

The pair is in a clear downtrend from the 114.66 top, after completing the broad consolidation since 107.21. The technical indicators are falling on daily basis and trading is situated above the 50- and 200-day SMA, currently projected at 102.74 and 110.57.     

We still expect a downtrend to emerge, for a break below the 99.86 dynamic support, en route to 95.75.  Nevertheless the uptrend on the lower time-frames is still intact, so only below 100.82  will be confirmed, that the outlook is totally bearish for 95.75.
It is not clear if with yesterday's bottom at 103.23, the whole consolidation pattern since 104.67 has ended, but we will expect ranging above 103.23 and below 104.21. Break above 104.37 is needed to put 104.97 on test and probably 105.51 later on. Today we are rather neutral, so take your time and wait for the FED's announcement.

 resistance
 support
intradayintraweek
104.21104.97
104.97108.31
intradayintraweek
103.23100.82
102.6895.75

 


---------------------


GBP/USD
Current level- 1.9647

The pair has reversed at 1.9337 and the technical indicators are rising and convergent. Trading is situated between the 50-day MA, projected at 1.9741 and the 200-day SMA, at 1.9925.
    
After yesterday's break below 1.9782 crucial support it became clear, that  the bigger corrective construction from the 2.0397 top is not yet finalized and new bottom below the 1.9599 low is to be expected. This doesn't change much our short-term view (for one more leg upwards to 2.0397 and 2.0531), but has postponed our expectations for a forthcoming test of the 2.0196 resistance zone.  
We expect a local bottom to be build around current levels for a rise towards 1.9803. Will wait for a clear break above 1.9687 to go long for 1.9794.

 resistance
 support
intradayintraweek
1.96871.9961
1.97942.0192
intradayintraweek
1.96251.9599
1.95991.9421

 

Forex Technical Analysis
 

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Forex Technical Analysis

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