Stock Market On Verge Of Crash

www.investing.com/analysis/stock-market-on-verge-of-crash-381983

By Erik McCurdy | Jan 27, 2016 11:52PM ET

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Last weekend, we noted that the cyclical top in the stock market had entered an important phase of its development. The massive distribution pattern that has been forming on the S&P 500 index since 2014 indicates that the cyclical bull market from 2009 likely terminated in July of last year.

SPX Weekly 2013-2016

The potential cyclical downtrend from July is testing critical support in the 1,880 area on the SPX. A subsequent weekly close well below that level would signal an acceleration of the decline into a true market crash and predict substantial additional losses.

SPX Weekly with Cyclical Downtrend Confirmation

From a short-term perspective, we have been monitoring closely the character of the latest cycle that began last week. We are 5 sessions into the alpha phase rally of the current cycle and the rebound has struggled to advance during the last 3 sessions, suggesting that the alpha high (AH) may have formed yesterday.

SPX Daily

The confirmed formation of the latest AH after only 5 sessions would be an extremely bearish short-term development that would predict a quick move below the critical long-term support at the 1,880 level on the weekly chart. Therefore, it will be important to monitor stock market behavior closely during the next several sessions.

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US 30	32,512.0	+267.4	+0.83%
US 500	3,983.6	+32.0	+0.81%
Dow Jones	32,244.58	+382.60	+1.20%
S&P 500	3,951.57	+34.93	+0.89%
Nasdaq	11,675.54	+45.03	+0.39%
S&P 500 VIX	22.83	-1.32	-5.47%
Dollar Index	102.707	-0.226	-0.22%

Crude Oil WTI	68.16	+0.34	+0.50%
Brent Oil	74.05	+0.26	+0.35%
Natural Gas	2.224	+0.001	+0.04%
Gold	1,972.35	-10.45	-0.53%
Silver	22.630	-0.016	-0.07%
Copper	4.0175	+0.0660	+1.67%
US Soybeans	1,492.00	+6.00	+0.40%

U.S. 10Y	3.541	+0.064	+1.85%
U.S. 30Y	3.707	+0.045	+1.24%
U.S. 5Y	3.6787	+0.1090	+3.04%
U.S. 3M	4.7920	+0.1720	+3.72%
US 10Y T-Note	114.58	-0.52	-0.45%
Euro Bund	136.28	-1.54	-1.12%
10-2 Yield Spread	-41.16	+18.72	+-31.26%

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Alphabet A	101.22	-0.40	-0.39%
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Amazon.com	97.71	-1.24	-1.25%
Netflix	305.13	+1.63	+0.54%
Meta Platforms	197.81	+2.20	+1.12%
Bank of America	27.75	-0.07	-0.25%

Stock Market On Verge Of Crash

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