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SPY and QQQ: A Tale of 2 EFTs

Published 05/11/2023, 12:39 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
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SPY Weekly Chart

Some interesting divergence between the SPDR® S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY) & Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ), with the former developing some strong resistance levels on the weekly chart (see chart below) while the latter only facing some very minor resistance at 324. This is unusual as both ETFs have a 0.86 correlation which is high and indicates a strong positive relationship.

QQQ Weekly Chart

This year’s resurgence in the tech sector will certainly have helped the QQQ and resulted in the ETF outperforming the SPY by some margin YTD returning 20.98% to SPY’s 7.86% (as of 10th May). However, what we can say about resistance levels is that once breached on good volume, they become strong support levels and a springboard for a move higher. For the SPY, this means a re-test of the August 2022 high of 431.73. And as I’ve said many times, even if you only trade the faster charts, levels on the slower time frames will always have a big impact, particularly as the price action approaches. It also pays to check out the S&R levels on the hourly, 4-hour, and daily charts for any confluence across the time frames.

QQQ Daily Chart

Staying with the QQQ, the daily chart for the ETF looks very positive as the price action is clear of both the volume point of control and the 321 resistance.

SPY Daily Chart

Meanwhile, the SPY is still trying to break away from its vpoc with the price action, failing to break resistance at 414.

Latest comments

EFTs ?? Someone needs coffee or had way to much!
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