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Silver's Downtrend Not Likely To End Anytime Soon

Published 06/29/2021, 05:01 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:32 AM


Silver prices have been trading in the $25.75-$26.40 range over the last five trading sessions. However, precious metals did find some support while the US dollar was experiencing weakness and bond yields were lower.

The gain in silver and gold was limited after hawkish Fed comments.

On the economic data front, the June Dallas Fed manufacturing activity index fell -3.8 to 31.1, weaker than expectations of 32.5. Meanwhile, the German May import price index rose +1.7% m/m and +11.8% y/y, against expectations of +1.3% m/m and +11.4% y/y.

The 11.8% y/y gain was the largest in 39 years.

ECB Governing Council member Holzmann said, "There is no room to raise interest rates given weak inflation." Also, ECB Executive Board member Panetta said the ECB must use "unconventional flexibility" to keep borrowing costs low until government spending helps push up inflation.

Hawkish Fed comments keeping precious metals prices under pressure

Boston Fed President Rosengren said the Fed might consider an interest rate hike as early as 2022 end, as the labor market reaches full employment and inflation is at the Fed's target.

According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended June 22, net long for silver futures dropped by 12,193 contracts to 39,871 for the week. Speculative long position dropped by 14,750 contracts, while shorts also dropped 2,557 contracts.

Silver prices are likely to continue with a negative trend while below the key resistance level of 20 day EMA at $26.678 and 50 day EMA at $26.902. Meanwhile, it may find support near $25.490 and $25.216.

Latest comments

0% for next two years is "hawkish"... that`s funny
Thank you for the article! What is your opinion about silver price in 1, 6, and 12 months - still bearish? (Absent any major new events - considering only current information and trends, of course.)
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