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Russell 2000 Breaks Out, S&P 500, Nasdaq Follow Suit: Strong Weekly Finish Likely?

By Declan FallonStock MarketsJul 14, 2023 03:32AM ET

www.investing.com/analysis/russell-2000-breaks-out-sp-500-nasdaq-follow-suit-strong-weekly-finish-likely-200639981

Russell 2000 Breaks Out, S&P 500, Nasdaq Follow Suit: Strong Weekly Finish Likely?

By Declan Fallon | Jul 14, 2023 03:32AM ET

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NDX

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US500

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DJI

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US2000

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The Russell 2000 made its move, but today it was Nasdaq and S&P 500's turn. Technically, the breakouts for both of these indexes occurred yesterday, but doji doesn't really qualify because of the implied indecision and potential topping aspects of this candlestick. However, today's (small) white candlestick in these indexes was enough to count the move as a breakout. The MACD trigger 'buy' is an added bonus.

COMPQ Daily Chart

COMPQ Daily Chart

The S&P 500 played a similar move to the Nasdaq with its breakout. Volume was down on yesterday (the 'real' price breakout), but the MACD trigger 'buy' and the acceleration in the uptick in On-Balance-Volume compensate for this. The index is underperforming relative to the Russell 2000, which is bullish for the success of the broader rally, even if this means Large Cap stocks will lag Growth stocks.

SPX Daily Chart

SPX Daily Chart

The Russell 2000 also had a good day. There was a worrying 'black' candlestick yesterday, but today's action helped negate the bearish implications of that candlestick. Technicals are net bullish, and while yesterday's volume was light, On-Balance-Volume ticked towards a new 3-month high.

IWM Daily Chart

IWM Daily Chart

Of other indexes, the Dow Jones Index hasn't yet managed to follow the S&P 500 breakout higher. After a period of relative strength, it has now lost some ground. The relative underperformance to the Nasdaq 100 is particularly telling.

INDU Daily Chart

INDU Daily Chart

The Semiconductor Index has also managed a break from its consolidation triangle but hasn't quite managed to follow it with a MACD trigger 'buy.'

SOX Daily Chart

SOX Daily Chart

For tomorrow, we want to see these gains banked so that weekly charts show a strong finish. A doji or better would be better for any of the featured indexes.

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haymanot beyene Aug 01, 2023 5:02PM ET

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Sweet Niagara Jul 21, 2023 5:58PM ET

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