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Rising Gold-To-Silver Ratio Indicates Bullish Momentum Building in Silver

By Michele SchneiderCommoditiesMar 14, 2023 01:19AM ET

www.investing.com/analysis/rising-goldtosilver-ratio-indicates-bullish-momentum-building-in-silver-200636200

By Michele Schneider | Mar 14, 2023 01:19AM ET

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Given the recent liquidity crisis in the banking sector, the CPI number could be an important driver in the Federal Reserve’s next move on March 22.

As per our annual outlook,

“The Federal Reserve is overly optimistic about inflation declining back to 2%.”

Also from Outlook are Three interesting notes:

After inflation crosses 8%, it proceeds to higher levels over 70% of the time
Once inflation is above 8%, reverting to 3% usually takes six to twenty years, with a median of ten years
The lesson we should take from this is not that inflation is destined to move to new highs in the months ahead (after all, nearly 30% of the time, it is, in fact, cresting!), but that we dismiss that possibility at our peril.

Expectations for CPI are for a softer number than last month, or around 6%. However, what if the number comes in more like 6.5%?

The silver-to-gold ratio is important to watch.

SLV Price Daily Chart

ETF Summary

S&P 500 (SPY) 390 served us as good resistance, so a level to watch
Russell 2000 (IWM) Landed on an important calendar range support level at 172.00
Dow (DIA) Not a key bottoming pattern 310 support 324 resistance
Nasdaq (QQQ) Crossed back above the 50-DMA, so 290 is important!
Regional banks (KRE) Held support and oversold, so let us watch 50-51
Semiconductors (SMH) 240-tested but not cleared-however still the strongest sector
Transportation (IYT) Unconfirmed Distribution Phase making 223-224 pivotal
Biotechnology (IBB) 126.50 moving average resistance
Retail (XRT) 60 big support and 64 big resistance

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Ray Brown Mar 14, 2023 3:18AM ET

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Mukesh Pareek Mar 14, 2023 3:14AM ET

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what will happen mam gold silver will come down or up

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Siyaram Geel Mar 14, 2023 3:14AM ET

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Rising Gold-To-Silver Ratio Indicates Bullish Momentum Building in Silver

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