Market Overview

STOCKS: The world economy is muddling through. The sequestration and continued Congressional argument regarding government closures and debt ceilings are clear headwinds to the US economy, while China...

Following low inflation data, the ECB's rate cut and slow data, we think probabilities have flipped over to a December rate cut. However, if the Riksbank decides to stay on hold, the first hike will...

Two overall tendencies have dominated global financial markets sentiment. On the one hand, strong US macroeconomic data – for example the October labour market report and Q3 GDP numbers –...

GDP growth in Q3 eased to 1.9% q/q ann. (consensus 1.7%, DBM 2.0%) from 3.9% q/q ann. in Q2. The slowdown in growth was primarily driven by weaker private consumption and exports. Growth in private...

Friday's MarketFocus on the euro area with the release of preliminary Q3 GDP figures. We expect growth to remain positive but to be slightly lower compared to Q2. Growth is helped by the periphery...

Treasury prices grew this week on speculators hoping that the Fed will not be tapering QE anytime soon (read: December), and what Fed Chairperson Nominee Janet Yellen said in the past 2 days fueled...

Note from dshort: I've updated this commentary to include the latest labor force data in last Friday's employment report.Every week I post an update on new unemployment claims shortly after the BLS...

Stock market continue its momentum from yesterday but struggled to climb. More weak comments from Fed Chair nominee Janet Yellen suggested that she would likely see QE continue for a while to help the...

Initial jobless claims fell again last week, dropping for the fifth week in a row. That’s good. But the rate of descent is slowing. It’s too soon to say if this is a warning sign, but as a...

Well, we can only hope, but I’m not totally convinced. The market has taken what is probably the slowest and most scenic route to get to the target I described in Monday’s video outlook....

The equity melt-up continues, with the S&P 500 now up more than 25% year-to-date in a period of stagnant growth and an environment of declining market liquidity. The catalysts for the latest leg...

1) The Indonesian central bank unexpectedly hiked rates 25 bp to 7.50% 2) India reported higher than expected October CPI and WPI, and should tip the RBI into hiking again next month 3) Hungary...

The Fed Significantly Impacts MarketsThe longer you are involved with the financial markets, the more you respect the market’s obsession with the Fed. The quantitative easing process (QE) pumps...

With some retail quarters starting to trickle in, I wanted to put together a comparison of some of the US’ largest multi-line retailers based on square footage.It’s always amazing to think...