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It’s that time again. I haven’t heard the holiday music ring through the stores and malls yet, but it‘s coming, and I can tell you that retailers across America are nervous. Black...
To taper QE, or not to taper QE? That is the question. Another question is why haven’t the members of the FOMC considered tying QE tapering to the tapering of the federal deficit? Over the past...
The direction of prices in the housing market has historically been dependent on the direction of mortgage interest rates. If mortgage rates start to increase, it makes homes less affordable for those...
On Thursday, the American market finished trading session with a moderate decrease. If at the beginning of the session we could observe speculative purchases supported by published data on inflation...
Last month the U.S reached a significant milestone in their bid for energy independence. For the first time since 1995 the U.S produced more oil than it imported. This may not seem all that...
Credit Suisse Asset Management has published a white paper on the implications of unconventional Federal Reserve policy on fixed income arbitrage. The gist of it: there is an elephant in a small room,...
Here is a table showing the annualized change in Headline and Core CPI, not seasonally adjusted, for each of the past five months. I've also included each of the eight components of Headline CPI and a...
A week ago noted investor Ray Dalio projected annual equity returns of a less-than-robust 4% over the next decade.Now we hear from another one of my favorite investment gurus, Jeremy Grantham. While...
AM Analysis – “Asian markets failed to be galvanised” – Alex Conroy Asian markets failed to be galvanised by forecast beating trade data with the Nikkei ending down almost...
Pre-market update:Asian markets traded 0.3% lower. European markets are trading 0.3% lower. US futures are flat ahead of the market open. Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): MBA...
Just when it looked like the trend in retail sales was set to flash a danger sign for the business cycle, consumers rallied with a sharply higher rate of spending. Headline retail sales increased 0.4%...
The sharp drop in the annual rate of consumer price inflation in the Eurozone in October (0.7% vs. 1.1% for the previous month) looks like a warning sign that the winds of disinflation/deflation are...
Currency The Majors saw gains against the Dollar overnight following Bernanke’s affirmation to ultra-easy Fed monetary policy for ‘as long as is necessary’. Bernanke indicated that...
There are four main forces shaping the immediate investment climate and these remain essential unchanged: 1) Fed tapering not expected until late Q1 14. 2) ECB will likely take additional action to...
Financial Advice and Investment Decisions: A Manifesto for Change by Jarrod W. Wilcox and Frank J. Fabozzi (Wiley, 2013) is meant as a wake-up call for individual investors (and, presumably, their...