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The Chinese Lunar New Year starts on January 31. It is the Year of the Horse. For investors suffering in Chinese stocks, the pain makes it feel more like the Year of the Charley Horse. Many are...
Bloomberg Briefs hosted a must-read debate for investors between Michael Pettis and Eswar Prasad about the outlook for China. Regular readers of this blog will be familiar to the work of Michael...
The global capital markets imploded in the second half of last week and investors spent the weekend contemplating the significance. The main focus was on the emerging markets, which were especially...
One of the common beliefs of the new normal is the demographic shift to an aging population which does not spend money – lowering the historical GDP potential. This is discussed as being one of...
Paul Krugman argues that it’s hard to tell the difference between the economies of the UK and France these days. He seems to be cherry-picking the numbers to make a point about the value (or...
In the week when Spain exited its debt bailout program, UK posted its biggest drop in unemployment in 17 years and margins on Italian govt bonds were reduced, rumours of a China sovereign downgrade...
My first thought was "Oh no! Here we go. My nightmare scenario has become a reality. I quickly flipped over to my markets page to find stock futures deep in the red by....wait a minute...less...
The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) is at 133.9, down from last week's 134.3. The WLI annualized growth indicator (WLIg) to one decimal place rose to 4.2, up...
AM Analysis – “The growing Asian credit crisis continues to weigh on regional shares” – Max Cohen The growing Asian credit crisis continues to weigh on regional shares with the...
The Fortune Teller Speaks:US stock markets will likely continue to decline today as investor fear continues to dominate trading. All Eyes on Wall Street: All eyes on Wall Street will definitely be...
Earlier this week 30-day/4-wk T-Bills were auctioned off a 0% rate. Intra-day, after the auction, the rate went negative. Negative short term rates were last observed in 2008, before the...
The Bureau of Labor Statistics just reported that inflation in the U.S. economy increased by 0.3% in the month of December and that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the entire year of 2013 increased...
Emerging Markets have been in the dumper lately. Nobody will argue with that. Yesterday though Michael Santoli from Yahoo Finance extolled that it was time to buy the dip in Emerging Markets. Well not...
After an already difficult start for emerging markets (EM) this year, the situation became even more challenging this week as weak Chinese data created fresh concerns of a hard landing with a negative...
1] What mistakes from the past are we condemned to repeat?2] Since unbacked paper currency systems have always failed in the past, why have bankers and economists promoted an unbacked paper currency...