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Monday’s a slow news day for macro and so the January report on Germany’s Ifo Business Climate Index may have a larger-than-usual influence on the trading day ahead. Later, we’ll see...
The major currencies are consolidating, but many of the emerging market currencies, including the South African rang, Turkish lira, Indian rupee, Russian rouble, Polish zloty and Hungarian forint...
In January, the IFO business climate index increased from 109.5 to 110.6, thus reaching the highest level since July 2011. The survey is consistent with acceleration in the recovery pace at the...
In December, real exports contracted by 0.7%. However, this is probably much more related to capacity shortages than to sluggishness in international trade or competitiveness problems. Japanese...
U.S. equities markets fell off sharply and Treasuries rose on Friday. The Dow Jones saw a triple digit loss for the second time last week and has had its worst week since November of 2011. Investors...
If you haven’t read Steven Drobny’s Inside the House of Money: Top Hedge Fund Traders on Profiting in the Global Markets, newly revised and updated (Wiley, 2014) you should immediately add...
Because this is the first quarterly release, we are likely to see plenty of market reaction. One thing to remember is that since the figure is expected at 3.2%, even if we were to miss the forecast, I...
RBNZ Interest Rates decision today is expected to be unchanged from the previous release of 2.50%, although RBNZ is expected to hike rates eventually, it’s just a bit too early as most analysts...
US New Home Sales measures the new homes sales market which is a reflection of the overall health of the economy. If we get a significantly higher than expected figure, it would definitely add more...
EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.3656, 1.3640 and 1.3610(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.3593, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.3565. Break of the latter would...
After a bad week in U.S. equities and a really bad week in emerging markets, is there a relevant message? If so, does it matter for day traders, swing traders, investors, or all of the above? The...
GoldWEEKLY MOVING AVERAGESThe February gold futures contract closed at 1267 . The market closing above the 9 MA (1238) is confirmation that the trend momentum is bullish. A close below the 9 MA would...
Since the financial crisis, increasingly, U.S. Treasury issuance has occurred at the short end of the interest rate curve. Unlike many mortgage borrowers who refinanced their mortgage debt to lock in...
The Chinese Lunar New Year starts on January 31. It is the Year of the Horse. For investors suffering in Chinese stocks, the pain makes it feel more like the Year of the Charley Horse. Many are...
Bloomberg Briefs hosted a must-read debate for investors between Michael Pettis and Eswar Prasad about the outlook for China. Regular readers of this blog will be familiar to the work of Michael...