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How Far Will Stocks Drop Before We Find A Bottom?

Published 10/25/2018, 08:45 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

You can’t say I didn’t warn you.

In August I wrote the following:

On that note, our proprietary Crash Trigger recorded a signal yesterday morning.

This means the odds of a market meltdown are higher than in years.

That meltdown is now here. And it’s not over by a long shot.

Think of this meltdown as stocks playing “catch up” to economic realities.

Those are the economic realities of a slowing global economy, a deflating housing bubble as a result of Fed rate hikes, and a trade war with China.

Each of these realities had an asset class warning about what was to come. Those asset classes were Copper, Homebuilders, and China’s stock market.

ALL of these suggest stocks are going lower. It’s no longer a question of IF stocks will continue to drop, but a question of how far they will drop.

Back in 2015 I sensed that the financial system was moving toward a multi-year period of increased volatility.

I custom designed an options trading system to profit from it.

It’s called The Crisis Trader and since inception in 2015, it’s produced average annual gains of 41%.

And that’s BEFORE the crisis even hit!

However, I cannot maintain these returns with thousands of traders following these trades.

With that in mind, we are closing the doors on this system to new clients on Friday this week.

To lock in one of the last slots…

Copper suggests stocks will drop to 2,500 on the S&P 500.

S&P 500 (black), Copper

The Homebuilders (NYSE:XHB) suggest 2,100 on the S&P 500.

S&P 500 (black), Homebuilders

China Large-Cap (NYSE:FXI) suggests 2,300.

S&P 500 (black), China

NONE of those charts is REMOTELY bullish.

Will we get bounces in the markets such as the one starting today? Absolutely, but the BULL MARKET is OVER. And stocks will eventually enter a full-scale CRASH as the world experiences its first real bout of deflation since 2008.

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