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Gold: No Looking Back Once Yellow Metal Clears $2100

By Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMTCommoditiesDec 08, 2023 02:24AM ET
www.investing.com/analysis/gold-no-looking-back-once-yellow-metal-clears-2100-200644239
Gold: No Looking Back Once Yellow Metal Clears $2100
By Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT   |  Dec 08, 2023 02:24AM ET
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Gold
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+2.01%
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Gold has pulled back after a mini-blow-off on Monday that followed a new monthly and weekly all-time high. 

It had cleared monthly resistance at $2000 and weekly resistance near $2030 before surging intraday to over $2100. Gold has settled in the $2000s with strong support, around $2000.

Although Gold has not broken out on the daily chart, the monthly and weekly breakout is more significant and implies a daily breakout will eventually follow.

SentimenTrader.com published a chart that can give us insight into the time of eventually.

This chart plots points at which Gold hit a new 52-week high but reversed lower as much as 2% or more.

These points include multiple points from 2001 to 2003, the 2006 and 2007 interim peaks, a peak before Covid, and one in early 2022.

Gold Intraday Rally
Gold Intraday Rally

The points in 2001, 2002, and 2003 are the best comparisons because those were early in a new secular bull market, and the gold price was much less overbought than in 2006 and 2007. Those four points bottomed at or around the 200-day moving average one or two months after the reversal.

Gold has support at $1985 to $2000, and its 200-day moving average, at $1960, should reach $1985 in January 2024. Also, note the last line of resistance near $2100.  

Gold-Daily Chart
Gold-Daily Chart

It is easy to see why $2100 is the last stand for Gold bears. Why $26 is the last stand for Silver is more nuanced.

The $26 level is an important historical pivot point (first rally after the 1980 crash, major support after the 2011 peak, and resistance over the past two years) and marks the 50% retracement of the move from the all-time highs to early 1990s lows.

A clear break of $26 projects to a measured upside target of $33-$34, and there is very little resistance to $50. 

Silver-Weekly Chart
Silver-Weekly Chart

Gold has already made a new monthly and weekly all-time high, but there is no looking back once the market clears $2100.

And that breakout will lead to Silver breaking above $26. 

These are the final resistance levels before a full-blown, raging bull market in precious metals.

Get positioned during this weakness because share prices could accelerate much higher before next spring.

Gold: No Looking Back Once Yellow Metal Clears $2100
 

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Gold: No Looking Back Once Yellow Metal Clears $2100

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Comments (1)
Hubert Tucker
Hubert Tucker Dec 08, 2023 8:03AM ET
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Looks good ,you do a Great job, always look Forward to your Analysis.
 
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