GLD Update: Has The Next Impulse Leg Down Already Started?

Published 06/20/2018, 12:02 AM
In this article:

Just a quick update on a few of the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (NYSE:GLD) charts we’ve been following closely. Below is the daily line chart which shows the breakout from the blue triangle that formed as the backtest to the larger 5 point bearish falling wedge reversal pattern.

Bulls tried as hard as they could but they couldn’t take out the bottom rail of the falling wedge reversal pattern. Friday’s decline was on heavy volume.

GLD Daily

We’ve been following the ping pong move between the bottom rail of the bearish rising wedge and the top rail of the 2018 rectangle reversal top. Friday the price action gapped below the bottom rail of the falling wedge on heavy volume. Note how similar the 2018 top is to the 2016 top which produced a move down to the 107 area after a strong backtest.

GLD Daily with Bearish Rising Wedge

The weekly chart shows the breakout from the bottom rail of the 2 1/2 year triangle consolidation pattern. A backtest would come in around the 123 area.

GLD Weekly 2015-2018

Until the golden neckline is broken to the upside, bears are still in charge.

GLD Weekly 2012-2018

Below is the long-term monthly chart which shows GLD’s bear market downtrend channel. Was last Friday’s move down the beginning of the next impulse leg down?

GLD Monthly 2010-2018

Latest comments

"SPDR Gold Shares ETF (NYSE:GLD) charts". . David, you seem very familiar with this fund. I've been trying to do my due diligence into this fund but was never able to find any details on its insurance for its physical gold assets. Would you happen to know any specifics on this subject? The following mirrors my experience on this: "Did anyone try calling the GLD hotline at 866▪320▪4053 in search of numerical details on GLD's insurance? The prospectus vaguely states "The Custodian maintains insurance with regard to its business on such terms and conditions as it considers appropriate which does not cover the full amount of gold held in custody." When I asked about how much of the gold was insured, the representative proceeded to act as if he didn't know and said they were just the "marketing agent" for GLD. What kind of marketing agent would not know such basic information about a product they are marketing? It seems like they are deliberately hiding information from investors."
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