Wall Street posts three-week losing streak as Iran war batters sentiment
Cybersecurity leader CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD) is navigating a period of consolidation in security software, using targeted acquisitions to prepare for a new era of AI-driven threats and may offer insight into the sector when it reports fourth-quarter results Tuesday after the market close.
Wall Street expects adjusted EPS of $1.10 (up from $1.03 a year ago) and sales to rise 23% to about $1.3 billion.
Key Highlights
- Business software stocks have struggled in 2026, and CrowdStrike is no exception; shares are off 18% year-to-date, including eight sessions with declines over 3%, highlighted by back-to-back selloffs just over a week ago.
- CrowdStrike provides a suite of security services many integrated into its core endpoint offering via acquisitions and is continuing that strategy with three recent buys to shore up emerging AI-related security gaps.
- The emphasis is on the long term, not the next quarter. A prevailing narrative holds that AI will upend software by automating many functions and putting pressure on current subscription revenue models.
- On Feb. 22, CrowdStrike CEO George Kurtz pushed back in a LinkedIn post, writing, “AI is powerful. It is transformative. And it absolutely makes security better. But AI does not eliminate the need for security. It increases it.” He was responding to an 8% stock drop on Feb. 20 after Anthropic released a tool that scans code for potential vulnerabilities. A development that can, in fact, improve software security.
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Analysts Expectation
- A Wells Fargo analyst-initiated coverage of CRWD with an “overweight” rating and a $450 price target.
- A Baird analyst kept CrowdStrike Holdings at “neutral,” lowering the price target to $450 from $550.
A BTIG analyst reiterated a “buy” rating on CrowdStrike cutting the price target to $499 from $640.
CRWD Q4 2025 earnings pre-market (4:05 pm et) Tuesday March 03, 2026
|
Analyst Ratings |
|||
|
SOURCE |
BUY |
HOLD |
SELL |
|
Refinitiv |
37 |
15 |
2 |
|
TipRanks |
20 |
7 |
0 |
|
Earnings Expectation |
|
|
EPS |
1.10 USD |
|
Revenue |
1.30 B USD |
Expected Move By Option Expiration:
Options flow shows a large net positive gamma at the 470 strike (+$2,401.728) and a net negative gamma at the 350 strike (-$2,073.873) across expiries from March 2026 to Dec 2028.
Technical Analysis Perspective
- CRWD is trading within a long-term support band anchored by the Aug. 2024 low near the $200s.
- The stock held that band in April 2025 around $298.
- Prices briefly fell below the band last week before recovering to close at $372.
- CRWD needs to stay inside the band through earnings.
- Best case: a post-earnings breakout above $395, targeting $405–$425 resistance.
- Bear case: a dip to retest last week’s low near $342, finishing the week back in the $367–$395 support zone.
Daily Candlestick Chart
CRWD Seasonality Chart:
Since 2019, CRWD has seen March close with 0.1% rise in 43% of years and April with a 3.9% gain in 50% of years.
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Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only. It is not intended to encourage the purchase of assets in any way, nor does it constitute a solicitation, offer, recommendation or suggestion to invest. I would like to remind you that all assets are evaluated from multiple perspectives and are highly risky, so any investment decision and the associated risk belong to the investor. We also do not provide any investment advisory services.
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Ali Merchant is a seasoned financial market professional with expertise in Technical Analysis, Treasury & Capital Markets, Trading, Sales, Research, Training, Fund & Relationship Management, Fintech, and Digitalization. He is a CMT charter holder and an active member of CMT Association, USA, American Association of Professional Technical Analysts, and CMT Association of Canada. He has worked on various roles and organizations in North America and the GCC, such as ABN Amro bank, Thomson Reuters, Refinitiv, MAK Allen & Day Capital Partners, and Bridge Information Systems.
He is the founder of TwT Learnings, provides financial market training.
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