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Treasuries advanced for a third day as investors weighed whether the world’s largest economy is expanding fast enough to prompt the Federal Reserve to taper monetary stimulus.Benchmark 10-year...
Well it seems Mr. Market has been able to regain the important 1600 level in the S&P (SPX), likely giving a little confidence boost to equity bulls. Things also appear to be fairly strong, this...
In the past two days the 30-year conventional mortgage rate broke above 4.5% - roughly a 2-year high. Many economists argue that in spite of this spike, we are still some two percent below the...
It hasn’t been too long since I started to warn readers of Profit Confidential about what might happen in the U.S. bond market. (See “Bond Market Shows Signs of Weakness Ahead.”) As...
In the past week, the municipal bond market back-up was exacerbated, on top of an already sloppy six weeks. The culprits this week were the usual suspects: retail selling of bond funds and terrible,...
The Effective yield on high-yield bonds (junk bonds) are at historic lows. Over the past six years -- as the yield broke above resistance of bullish falling wedges -- the S&P 500 wound up...
It was a brilliant call, but she got cowed into submission by the powers that be. She was RIGHT. Unions have created an ungodly cost burden on cities and states. FIrefighters and police officers have...
I recently sat down with Covestor’s Mike Tarsala to discuss my core-satellite approach in the post-QE Infinity era.Per Tarsala’s article
There is a great bear flag formation on the ProShares UltraShort 20+-Year Treasury (ETF) (TBT). The opposite can be seen on the inverse ETF, the iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treas. Bond (ETF) (TLT). There...
This matters......a lot:And here's another look at Bond fund flows of late/very similar time frame:And here's a look at Credit Suisse's Fixed Income Risk appetite gauge: Short term, I believe rates...
With global markets palpitating currently in a fashion all too similar to those living on the Bowery and beginning a withdrawal program, I think it is overly simplistic to say that Bernanke’s...
The bond market selloff after the FOMC meeting and Chairman Bernanke's surprising specifics about exiting QE was quite stunning. However, his hawkish position was supported by yesterday's release by...
If yields on U.S. Treasury bonds keep rising, things are going to get very messy. As I write this, the yield on 10 year U.S. Treasures has risen to 2.51 percent. If that keeps going up, it is going to...