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Beyond Magnificent 7 - Stocks That Could Surprise With Hefty Long-Term Returns

Published 04/02/2024, 03:57 AM
Updated 09/02/2020, 02:05 AM

The S&P 500 index rose by 10.6% in the first quarter. Nearly half of these gains, 4.8% to be specific, came from top-performing stocks like Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA).

While many expect this trend to persist for some time, looking ahead 3-5 years from now is essential. The market operates in cycles, with periods of growth and decline impacting both investor sentiment and price trends.

Every investor must remember the golden rule: "Today's high valuations often mean lower expected future returns tomorrow" and vice versa. To validate this rule, one can examine various asset classes, including 10+ Treasuries, among others.

BAML 10+ Treasury Total Returns

Looking Beyond the Magnificent 7 for Outperformance

The Magnificent 7 have been delivering outstanding returns since 2023 and 2024.

This is quite a turnaround from 2022 when hardly anyone showed interest in them. I recall buying Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) during its low points, but back then, many were skeptical about its success due to competition from TikTok.

Now that we've established some solid facts, let's explore some companies that could follow a similar trajectory.

Here's a list of 7 potential stocks that meet specific criteria similar to those used with InvestingPro:

  • Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) greater than 10%
  • Bullish potential of at least 10%
  • Current Ratio exceeding 1
  • Debt-to-Capital Ratio below 0.9
  • Return on Assets (ROA) surpassing 5%
  • Market Capitalization exceeding 50 Billion

Filters

Source: InvestingPro

7 Picks Poised to Outperform

The companies you see listed below are 7 well-known stocks with all of the characteristics above, along with a P/E rating of less than 17 (historical average S&P 500 area)

  • PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ:PYPL)
  • Alibaba Group (NYSE:BABA)
  • Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRKa)
  • Total Energy Services (TSX:TOT)
  • Rio Tinto (NYSE:RIO)
  • Stellantis NV (NYSE:STLA)
  • Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO)

Many of these companies have faced challenges for a while now, mainly due to falling prices rather than fundamental weaknesses. Typically, they're initially criticized and then overlooked.

Not all of them will bounce back statistically, but we can start assessing those with better odds of delivering higher returns to investors in the future.

While not every stock can be outstanding, potential greatness may hide within each one.

Here's to the next opportunity!

***

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Disclaimer: The author holds long positions in Paypal, S&P 500 and Nasdaq. This article was written for informational purposes only; it does not constitute a solicitation, offer, advice, counseling or recommendation to invest as such it is not intended to incentivize the purchase of assets in any way. I would like to remind you that any type of asset, is evaluated from multiple points of view and is highly risky and therefore, any investment decision and the associated risk remains with the investor."

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