Dow 30

Bullish dow because Barack Obama interview tomorrow at 5 PM on CNBC. Whenever FED, ECB chairman or USA president spek event market geting higher and higjer....SO buy buy ...buy

BULLISH :)

With the Dow having reached targets to the upside, a break of the current support level should see us move to around the 16800 mark

the lull before the storm

should go up 1000 its just numbers and manipulation anymore.....gotta laugh at how sad the stock market has become....

Any news of going down 300 point?

Dont worry ...Fed yellen wants banks more resilient, Financial Stability with Price Stability as per FED i think stabilty is DOW 50000 so buy

Should hit 17k this week

Just as the weather started to warm up and the macroeconomic data began to improve,. wham! In just a little more than a week, the S&P 500 Index shed 4%. The NASDAQ. Composite Index, home of many fast-growing investor favorites, lost 6.5% in that same. period. At the same time, bond yields are falling, the emerging markets are rallying,. small-cap stocks are underperforming, the put/call ratio is still high, the dollar has been. relatively weak and defensive sectors such as utilities, telecomm and consumer staples. are making gains. What’s going on? Is growth better or worse?. For weeks, investors have been shifting out of the premium-priced high-growth. stocks, which tend to be in favor when growth is scarce, toward cheaper, large-cap,. cyclicals—“value” stocks—which are levered to economic growth. This rotation gained. steam after Federal Reserve policymakers signaled that they would consider raising. short-term interest rates as soon as mid 2015, earlier than the market expected. The. March employment report, which confirmed better growth was underway, only. exacerbated the shift. Adam Parker, Morgan Stanley & Co.’s chief US equity strategist,. says in the eight trading days ending April 4, the difference in performance between the. value and growth styles has only been as extreme as 3.4% of the time in the last 30 years.. We don’t see these dynamics as indicative of a correction. We see three explanations. for the volatility and crosscurrents that should prove short-lived: (1) hedge fund. positioning; (2) faltering faith in or lack of clarity from central bankers; and (3) falling. inflation expectations around the world, even in the US.. On the first point, Parker has pointed out that hedge fund “crowding” in momentum stocks. had reached extremes, and is now coming down. Based on his. analysis, hedge funds’ top positions underperformed their short. positions by a near-record 8% in the 12 trading days ending. April 4—a “technical rush to the exits.” The same dynamic. might be at work in the emerging markets. Hedge funds have. been broadly short the region and, as we noted last week, money. flows have begun to improve. While some have pointed to a. technical breakout of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, we. suspect that hedge funds’ short covering is also a factor.. On the second point, some market watchers have suggested. that the bond market’s strength and the rebound in defensive. and rate-sensitive equities are driven by a nuanced interpretation. of the Fed’s messaging. For these investors, the fear is that the. Fed’s focus has subtly shifted to financial stability and deflating. potential asset bubbles. They see the Fed’s focus on exiting. from Quantitative Easing as potentially too swift and think. economic data will ultimately disappoint. They also seem to. believe that the normalized growth rate of the economy may be. lower than originally thought. We think the recent release of the. March Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes,. which reaffirms the central bank’s focus on growth, will go a. long way to alleviating this risk.. Finally, there’s the anxiety around falling inflation. expectations, which is pushing down nominal bond yields.. Granted, measures like the five-year TIPS breakeven rate and. the five-year inflation swaps are trending down and are roughly. one-half percentage point lower than a year ago. Global. deflationary pressures seem to be intensifying, too, with the. China’s renminbi weakening further and European price trends. also lower than expected. That said, the GIC’s view is that it is. premature to extrapolate current inflation readings into a dire. scenario of stagnating growth. Instead, in the near term we see. these readings as a low-growth, low-inflation environment in. which consumer discretionary spending gets a tailwind.. . Bottom Line:. Although these transitions in monetary. stimulus are never smooth, we believe that the odds of a major. correction and near-term recession remain low. Leading. indicators across the developed world, while losing some. momentum, are still solid. What’s more, US job creation seems. on target and even the all-important labor force participation. rate is showing improvement. We remain confident that Fed. Chair Janet Yellen will remain vigilant about both employment. progress and helping the economy hit escape velocity. Even so,. as stimulus is withdrawn, fundamentals will matter more and. effective stock-picking will be necessary. Growth and inflation. may remain below expectations, keeping bonds and bond. proxies range-bound. Watch first-quarter earnings reports and. the Fed’s forward guidance. Consider more actively managed,. concentrated portfolios, especially in the US. Stay highly. diversified by asset class.