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Tesla to emerge stronger from EV recession, analyst says in pushback against bears

Published 04/17/2024, 05:27 PM
Updated 04/17/2024, 05:27 PM
© Reuters.

Investing.com -- Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) shares have been battered and bruised amid waning electric vehicle demand, but "Morgan Stanley believes the EV maker will emerge stronger from the "EV recession," and warns investors against ignoring the company's AI-related developments. 

"Tesla has significant attributes to be valued as an AI beneficiary," analysts at Morgan Stanley said in a Wednesday note, and kept its overweight rating on stock, with a $310 price target. 

But before Tesla can get credit as an AI company, the EV maker has to focus efforts on stabilizing its core EV business to stem the negative earnings revisions seen so far. 

The current EV recession, in which demand continues to dwindle, is moving into the next phase, in which, like its auto competitors, Tesla will focus on stepping up efficiencies by not only cutting costs by implementing strategic changes. 

Slowdown in the auto industry, Morgan Stanley says, can "frequently accelerate good management strategies including collaboration and even consolidation."

The current headwinds in the industry has already taken one victim following the recent delisting of Fisker (OTC:FSRN), but it may not be the last, leading to fewer competitors in the industry.

With many auto firms expected to face challenging backdrop, the need to survive could likely forced unlikely strategic partners, turning rival companies from friend to foe.  

Tesla could collaborate with Chinese auto and battery partners to pave the way to Western auto markets, the analysts estimated. 

It may take a few more quarters for Tesla to weather the storm and wrestle back the narrative from naysayers, Morgan Stanley says, but believes that once the bearish waves wash away, then the EV maker's other businesses may likely come into the spotlight. 

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Morgan Stanley estimates that Tesla's core auto business represents just a fifth, or $62 a share, of its estimate of the EV maker's overall value of $310 a share.    

"We believe investors should not ignore the continued developments of Tesla’s other plays," Morgan Stanley said, many of which are auto-related including the recurring revenue opportunity from the Tesla fleet. 

Latest comments

Tesla will post its financial results for the first quarter of 2024 after market close on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. I will not be long on Tesla when they announce earnings! Tesla is a great company but not until interest rates drop and China’s economy improves. Tesla is in trouble right now. Price cuts and layoffs are a hint Tesla will dissappoint with earnings. Is it all baked into the stock price? We will see on the 23rd.
Buy low sell high.
MANY PEOPLE CANT GET IT YET . TESLA IS NOT A CAR MANUFACTORY. TESLA IS A REVOLUTIONARY BRAND. JUST WAIT AND YOU WILL SEE THE FUTURE IS BRIGHT
How they make money? Selling cars is it?
Toyota sell 4 or 5x what Tesla does. it's hard to justify an MCAP that's more than the next 3 or 4 car manufacturers combined so I'm not sure how loses in the stock do not continue to mount🤷
It's about margin also.., Toyota makes 1000$ on a car, and Tesla 5000$. Volume doesn't matter, but I agree that the stock price is overvalued with no growth at the moment.
Everyone making EVs now so this is fully a bet on TSLAs other businesses to drive growth.....batteries, AI, self-driving seem decent but the early lead had vanished so now they actually need to outperform
The global economy is becoming more interconnected.
Technology stocks continue to perform well.
my friend has a Tesla and although the tech is cool, I appreciate the fact that my car isn't connected to a database. I appreciate that I never have to worry about not being able to use or drive my car because of a computer glitch. I don't have equipment in my car that I need to unlock, no DLC nonsense. oh, and I can just drive it around and put gas in it and continue on my way. I wouldn't drive a Tesla, unless I maybe got it for free 🤷
Tesla isn't just a car maker. All their other ventures is what I'm betting on.
Every investment firm touts diversification in your portfolio. That seems to be Tesla's business model. Tesla is a high beta stock... that means volatility. If you can't stand the heat get out of the kitchen!
Tesla stock is out of the investors radar ...there are cheaper EV,s available in the market..
give me examples of a cheaper EV in the Y class thats cheaper then 37k at the moment with FSD
self driving is cool but I don't see the point if I really have to be equally as attentive as if I was driving the car. I might as well just take the wheel at that point, practically zero advantage to it unless maybe I'm drunk and need to get home
Decades from now it will be know in history that ev cars, semi's and robo taxi's all originated with Tesla in USA and that is why it's a discount on price rn and you miss out it's your fault. I've accumulated just over 400 shares at $174 (half margin) and not worried. They also have those robots and power bricks so yeah Tesla is way more then car company
absolutely
Trying to stop the bleeding.
If your Tesla stock is down and you want to buy and hold it's your own fault if you haven't sold weekly calls against it. In 4 months I've reduced my cost basis from $255/share to under $200. By the end of the year it should be under $100 and I can sell it or hold it.. learn to trade.
Morgan stanley must own a lot of shares
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