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Telsey holds $265 stock target on Williams-Sonoma, cites strong execution

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 03/13/2024, 11:26 AM
© Reuters.

On Wednesday, Telsey Advisory Group maintained an Outperform rating on Williams-Sonoma (NYSE:WSM) with a steady stock price target of $265.00. The firm acknowledged the retailer's solid performance in the fourth quarter of 2023, highlighting its ability to surpass expectations in a challenging market.

Williams-Sonoma reported a (6.8%) dip in comparable brand sales, which was favorable compared to the anticipated (9.1%) decline according to FactSet projections. The positive outcome was partly attributed to the Williams-Sonoma brand, which posted positive comparable sales, while Pottery Barn and PB Kids/Teen saw declines that were less severe than predicted.

The analysis pointed out that despite the softer sales, particularly at West Elm due to its higher proportion of furniture sales, Williams-Sonoma's profitability remained robust throughout 2023. The company's commitment to limited promotions and supply chain advantages played a significant role, even against a backdrop of what appeared to be an increase in marketing expenditures.

This strong profitability trend is expected to extend into 2024, with the company forecasting an operating margin between 16.5% and 16.8%, compared to FactSet's projection of 16.1%. Williams-Sonoma's revenue forecast, ranging from (3.0%) to 3.0%, aligns closely with expectations and was described as a cautious estimate.

In light of its sturdy cash reserves, which stood at $1.26 billion at the end of 2023, Williams-Sonoma has demonstrated confidence in its business model. This assurance has led to a 26% hike in the company's quarterly dividend to $1.13 per share.

Moreover, Williams-Sonoma has declared a new $1 billion share repurchase program. The firm has also raised its long-term margin forecast to the mid-to-high teens, an increase from the previous expectation of around 15%. This adjustment reflects an optimistic outlook for the company's future profitability.

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