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S&P 500 gives up gains as deeper yield curve inversion spooks stocks

Published 02/09/2023, 03:02 PM
Updated 02/09/2023, 03:19 PM
© Reuters.

By Yasin Ebrahim

Investing.com -- The S&P 500 fell Thursday, reversing intraday gains as an ongoing slip in Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and fresh warnings on the economy from the bond market weighed on investor sentiment.

The S&P 500 fell 0.18%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.23%, or 77 points, the Nasdaq was down 0.15%.

The 2-10 Treasury yield curve inverted by 85 basis points, the deepest inversion since early 1980s, triggering fresh worries about economic troubles as inversions tend to precede a recession.

Worries about a recession have been belied by a strong labor market, though following jobless claims data, released Thursday, that surprised to the upside, some suggest the recent surge in layoffs will start to push claims higher later this year.

“The bigger picture here, though, is that the surge in layoff announcements reported in the Challenger survey will pass through into claims by late winter/early spring, allowing for the usual lags,” Pantheon Macroeconomics said.

Alphabet was one of the biggest drags on the broader market as the fallout from its underwhelming event on Wednesday when it unveiled its AI chatbot ‘Bard’ continued.

“We think the ‘Google Live from Paris’ event was disappointing," UBS said, adding that the company “failed to directly respond to Microsoft’s integration of ChatGPT into Bing search yesterday.”

“Much of what was discussed was elaborating on previously announced products, like Google Lens, Translate, and Multisearch, with less incremental updates than what we were expecting,” it added.

Financials also weighed on the market, pressured by a dip in bank stocks as an inverted yield curve, in which short rates are higher than longer rates, tends to keep a lid on bank lending margins' profitability.

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Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC), First Republic Bank (NYSE:FRC) and Citigroup Inc (NYSE:C) led losses in financials, while Willis Towers Watson PLC (NASDAQ:WTW) also added pressure despite reporting better-than-expected quarterly results.

A rally in casino stocks following better-than-expected quarterly results from Wynn Resorts Limited (NASDAQ:WYNN) and MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) kept consumer stocks above the flatline.

Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS), meanwhile, gave up some gains to trade marginally higher after the entertainment company reported quarterly results that topped Wall Street estimates.

The company also announced a restructuring that will include 7,000 jobs cuts as part of a move to restructure the business that could result in about $5.5 billion in cost savings.

The cost-saving measures appeared to appease activist investor Nelson Peltz, who said he would end his proxy battle for a board seat.

“The proxy fight is over. This is a win for all shareholders,” a spokesperson for Peltz’s Trian Fund Management said, according to Reuters.

Affirm Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:AFRM), meanwhile, was punished after its fiscal second-quarter results fell short of analyst estimates and the buy now pay later firm said it would cut about 19% of its workforce.

Latest comments

The curve is inverted because the inflation expectations in the long term, approximated by the 10 years rate, are lower than the short term rates .. there is no cause-effect between inversion and recession
Bloomberg article reminds everyone of inverted yield curve and spooks market even more after Biden SOTU.
Vote Democrat; the alternative is very much worse.
Don't like the Dems?  Come up w/ something better; the retrumplicans ain't it.
I see the fear mongering of carlos, and abolish the fed, is back...
Never a day in the laughingstock of the investing world without some "late trade" fraud.
another day if mitch and his ignorance and complaints.....
1929 once in a generation crash is here. People will lose everything and never recover. Just like Japan in 1989
wow it only took 30 years!
nope. It was because of low interest rates and QE. The USA will never see new all time highs again.
  Remember we have a bet going.  I win if new all time high before new all time low.  And breakeven is far from "lose everything".
what a joke
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