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S&P 500 slips as retail sales upside surprise dents dovish Fed bets

Published 08/15/2023, 02:37 PM
© Reuters

Investing.com -- The S&P 500 was lower Tuesday, as signs of stronger-than-expected consumer spending dented hopes that the Federal Reserve won't resume rate hikes later this year. 

The S&P 500 fell 0.9% lower, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.9%, or 310 points, Nasdaq fell 0.8%.

Retail sales upside surprise dent dovish Fed bets

Retail sales rose 0.7% last month, well above expectations for 0.4%, marking the biggest increase since January.

The data pointing to signs of consumer strength cooled bets the Fed may not have to resume rate hikes later this year, and further pushed out expectations for rate cuts.

Bets on a Fed November rate hike rose to 32.2% from 26.4% last week, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

But some on Wall Street expect the consumer to tap out sooner rather than later.

“We expect retail sales to weaken through the end of the year is expected as availability of credit weighs on economic activity and the labor market,” Morgan Stanley said in a note.

Banking stocks stumble as Fitch warns of possible downgrade; Discover Financial slumps

Fitch Ratings analyst Chris Wolfe told CNBC on Tuesday that the credit ratings agency may forced to downgrade a slew of U.S. banks including JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) should the health of the banking sector deteriorate further.

Another downgrade of the U.S. banking industry to A+ from AA-, would force it to reassess its ratings on each of the more than 70 U.S. banks it covers, Wolfe told CNBC.

Regional banks including Citizens Financial Group Inc (NYSE:CFG), KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY), and M&T Bank Corp (NYSE:MTB) led the selling in the sector, but major Wall Street banking including JPM and BAC were more than 2% lower on the day.  

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Discover Financial Services (NYSE:DFS) also weighed on the sector after falling more than 10% as CEO Roger Hochschild resigned.

Home Depot delivers earnings beat, but worries about demand stifle gains

Home Depot Inc (NYSE:HD) reported better-than-expected quarterly results, but the home improvement’s downbeat remarks on waning demand for big-ticket, discretionary categories weighed on sentiment. The stock was marginally higher.  

Weakness in the shares of Home Depot retail may prove a buying opportunity, Oppenheimer said in a Tuesday note, as home improvement sales are likely to continue to expand.

Longer-term drivers of outsized sales expansion in home improvement retailing remain intact, Oppenheimer said, adding that it continues to “recommend clients use any nearer-term price weakness in HD shares as an intermediate- to longer-term.”

Nvidia Shines as Wall Street continues to sing praises

NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) added to gains from a day earlier, rising more than 1% after {{0UBS, Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC), and Baird, lifted their price target on the chipmaker amid optimism about AI-driven demand.}}

The chipmaker also attracted demand from the Middle East, with Saudi and the United Arab Emirates snapping up thousands of Nvidia’s high-performance chips, the Financial Times reported Monday.

PayPal slips after Elliot Investment Management ditches stock; ParaMount climbs on potential Hollywood strike breakthrough

PayPal Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:PYPL) fell more than 4% after Elliott Investment Management sold its stake in the payments technology company in Q2, a US Securities and Exchange Commission filing showed.

Paramount Global (NASDAQ:PARA) climbed 3% on hopes that talks between Hollywood Studios and the Writer Guild of America are nearing a breakthrough that could end the months long strike by screenwriters.

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Hollywood studios made a new offer to the striking writers that included concessions on key issues such as the use of artificial intelligence and access to viewer data, Bloomberg reported Monday. 

Latest comments

Fed rate pause odds in Nov increased 1% from yesterday. (61.8% from 60.8%.) . So, manipulative bearish comments were obvious today. It looks market will go higher tomorrow.
If retail sales were low the headline would have been recession fears blah blah blah. The fed is not even looking at retail sales
I'm probably wrong, because I usually am, but I think I know the real reason why indices are headed south. The United States used to have the controlling vote and veto power at the G20 summit, because we had the largest economy, 17% of global GDP.In 2016 President Obama surrendered that power to BRICS (Brazil, Russia,India, China and South Africa) combined. Together they had 23% of global GDP and currently have increased to 31.5%. Next Tuesday, the 22nd of August. BRICS is holding a meeting to discuss abolishing the petro dollar, replacing the world's reserve currency and establishing a new currency. Thanks to our president, they have the power to do whatever they like. We'll see what happens, but this could get very ugly.
  At least he admitted "probably wrong"
Otis. I wish it were, but everything I told you is the truth. My speculation is on market effect.
ronald, this is not 1945, when most of the world lay in ruins after ww2, except for the US, who was then in a position to dictate a new world order.. fast forward to the present century, and the US just doesn't have that kind of power anymore. for gods sake, pinning this on obama is, in your own words, 'wrong' in every possible way...
2YRvs10YR and 3MOvs10YR yield curve inversion still intact. After 2 more 25bps rate hikes terminal rate will be 6%.
Delusional fantasy
"Bidemonics", economic policies so terrible that it caused the US debt rating to drop for the first time in US history. There will nothing to save this illiquid market when they stop pumping up valuations with people's 401ks.
It’s continuing down more and more until market bankrupt
Market can't go bankrupt because of a dip ... not even a big dip.
NVDA is currently trading at a P/E of 408.55.  10 years ago it was trading at a P/E of 18.53. There is no added value in this market, just added valuation. Valuations have not been this high since the 2000 com crash. There will be nothing to save this market when they pull the plug on these massive valuations.
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