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Scholastic (NASDAQ:SCHL) Misses Q1 Sales Targets, Stock Drops

Published 03/21/2024, 04:39 PM
Updated 03/21/2024, 05:00 PM
Scholastic (NASDAQ:SCHL) Misses Q1 Sales Targets, Stock Drops

Educational publishing and media company Scholastic (NASDAQ:SCHL) fell short of analysts' expectations in Q1 CY2024, with revenue flat year on year at $323.7 million. It made a GAAP loss of $0.91 per share, down from its loss of $0.57 per share in the same quarter last year.

Is now the time to buy Scholastic? Find out by reading the original article on StockStory.

Scholastic (SCHL) Q1 CY2024 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $323.7 million vs analyst estimates of $329.2 million (1.7% miss)
  • EPS: -$0.91 vs analyst expectations of -$0.80 (13.7% miss)
  • Gross Margin (GAAP): 54.1%, up from 50.4% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow was -$7.1 million, down from $88.6 million in the previous quarter
  • Market Capitalization: $1.12 billion

MediaThe advent of the internet changed how shows, films, music, and overall information flow. As a result, many media companies now face secular headwinds as attention shifts online. Some have made concerted efforts to adapt by introducing digital subscriptions, podcasts, and streaming platforms. Time will tell if their strategies succeed and which companies will emerge as the long-term winners.

Sales GrowthReviewing a company's long-term performance can reveal insights into its business quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one sustains growth for years. Scholastic's revenue declined over the last five years, dropping 1.7% annually. Within consumer discretionary, product cycles are short and revenue can be hit-driven due to rapidly changing trends. That's why we also follow short-term performance. Scholastic's annualized revenue growth of 3.6% over the last two years is a reversal from its five-year trend, suggesting some bright spots.

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This quarter, Scholastic missed Wall Street's estimates and reported a rather uninspiring 0.4% year-on-year revenue decline, generating $323.7 million of revenue. Looking ahead, Wall Street expects sales to grow 4.3% over the next 12 months, an acceleration from this quarter.

Cash Is KingAlthough earnings are undoubtedly valuable for assessing company performance, we believe cash is king because you can't use accounting profits to pay the bills.

Over the last two years, Scholastic has shown mediocre cash profitability, putting it in a pinch as it gives the company limited opportunities to reinvest, pay down debt, or return capital to shareholders. Its free cash flow margin has averaged 4.5%, subpar for a consumer discretionary business.

Scholastic burned through $7.1 million of cash in Q1, equivalent to a negative 2.2% margin, reducing its cash burn by 39.2% year on year.

Key Takeaways from Scholastic's Q1 Results

We struggled to find many strong positives in these results. Its EPS missed and its revenue fell short of Wall Street's estimates, driven by weakness in its Book Clubs segment - revenue was down 52% year on year as the company ran fewer promotional offers.

During the quarter, Scholastic acquired 9 Story Media Group to expand into animated and live-action children's content. The deal was priced at $186 million, or just over 15% of Scholastic's current market capitalization. Only time will tell if this was a good strategic decision.

Overall, this was a mixed quarter for Scholastic. The company is down 7.6% on the results and trades at $35 per share.

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