MongoDB Shares Gain on Beat-and-raise, Results Seen as Strong

© Reuters. MongoDB (MDB) Shares Gain on Beat-and-raise, Results Seen as Strong

By Senad Karaahmetovic

Shares of MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB) are up more than 7% in premarket trading Thursday after the company reported stronger-than-expected Q1 revenue and hiked its full-year revenue guidance.

MDB reported a Q1 loss per share of $1.14, compared to a loss per share of $1.04 in the same period last year. Revenue came in at $285.4 million in the period, up 57% YoY and above the analyst consensus of $266.9 million.

Looking ahead, MonboDB expects a Q2 adjusted loss per share of 28c to 31c, while analysts were estimating a loss per share of 19c. The company expects Q2 revenue to be between $279 million and $282 million, also above the expectations of $277 million.

For FY 2023, the database software maker expects adjusted loss per share in the range of 16c to 31c, compared to the previous forecast range of 29c to 51c, while analysts were looking for 36c per share.

MDB expects FY 2023 revenue to be in the range of $1.17 billion to $1.19 billion, up from previous guidance of $1.15 billion to $1.18 billion, compared to the analyst consensus of $1.18 billion.

Morgan Stanley analyst Sanjit Singh cut the price target to $368.00 per share from $378.00 on multiple compression but he stays bullish on the fundamentals.

“We remain OW given the combination of: 1) a seasoned management team that has an established track record of navigating periods of uncertainty, 2) estimates that look prudently conservative going forward, 3) a $60 billion serviceable opportunity in the operational database market where MongoDB is gaining rapid share but is still under-penetrated and 4) a more palatable valuation at 12x CY23sales or 0.40x adjusted for growth for one of the most durable growth stories in software,” Singh told clients in a note.

Goldman analyst Kash Rangan reiterated a Buy rating but slashed the price target to $435.00 per share from $495.00.

“We expect investors to react positively to MDB’s 1Q print (+7% AH), as it delivered a fourth consecutive quarter of Atlas growth > 80% YoY and net expansion rate >120%. This signals to us that MDB’s consumption-based model for Atlas is resonating well with new and existing customers as application usage grows and customers add incremental workloads,” Rangan told clients in a note.

The analyst sees the risk-reward tilted to the upside “despite potential volatility in usage in FY23.”