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Soaring chip stocks hit as AMD's forecast fails to impress

Published 01/31/2024, 06:55 AM
Updated 01/31/2024, 10:00 AM
© Reuters. A smartphone with a displayed AMD logo is placed on a computer motherboard in this illustration taken March 6, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

By Medha Singh

(Reuters) -High-flying semiconductor stocks slipped on Wednesday after Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD)' disappointing current-quarter revenue forecast added to investor worries over sluggish demand for non-AI chips.

AMD targets revenue of $5.4 billion, plus or minus $300 million for the first quarter, below analysts' estimate of $5.73 billion, according to LSEG data. That overshadowed the company near doubling its AI processor projections to $3.5 billion for 2024.

After "expectations for AMD (reached) a fever pitch in recent weeks and months.. resetting those expectations is not necessarily a bad thing," said Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon.

That said, "the uber-bullish expectations for datacenter GPUs are probably out of reach at least in 2024.. making an expensive stock even more so."

Shares of Santa Clara, California-based AMD dropped 5.5% to $162.75 on Wednesday, pulling down Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM), Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) and Intel (NASDAQ:INTC). The losses were on track to erase about $60 billion of the chipmakers' combined market value.

The Philadelphia semiconductor index fell 1.7% after climbing 50% over the past 12 months.

AMD's update follows Intel's bleak first-quarter revenue outlook on Thursday, as the chipmaker plays catch-up in the AI race while also dealing with a weak PC market.

Demand from cloud computing companies remained "soft," CEO Lisa Su said. A supply glut in the automotive and industrial industries weighed on the company's programmable chips business.

Revenue from AMD's gaming segment also shrank in the fourth quarter from a year earlier.

The company's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio at 43.87 is the highest among the biggest U.S. chipmakers, per LSEG data.

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By comparison, Intel's PE multiple is 29.78, Nvidia at 30.18, Qualcomm 14.94 and Micron's 34.33. Comparatively, a lower multiple reflects an attractive investment opportunity.

At least five brokerages raised their price targets on AMD, pushing its median price target to $190 and implying a 10.4% expected rise in shares over the next 12 months.

"Was a high bar, no doubt, but AMD delivered where it mattered," said TD Cowen analysts.

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