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U.S. stocks are falling after stronger-than-expected retail sales

Published 08/14/2023, 07:10 PM
Updated 08/15/2023, 11:14 AM
© Reuters.

Investing.com -- U.S. stocks were falling on Tuesday as disappointing data out of China and stronger-than-expected retail sales data in the U.S. fueled concerns about interest rates.

At 10:58 ET (14:58 GMT), the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 306 points or 0.9%, while the S&P 500 was down 0.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite was down 0.8%.

Data on China's industrial output and retail sales pointed to a slowing economy in the past month. China's central bank, in a surprise move, marginally cut key interest rates on Tuesday.

In the U.S., the main equities indices posted gains on Monday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite the star performer, closing 1.1% higher. This sector has been fueled this year by expectations that the Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its interest rate increases.

Sentiment among global investors improved in August to its least bearish since February 2022, a Bank of America survey showed on Tuesday, with cash allocations falling to 4.8% from 5.3% and the underweight in equities narrowing to the smallest since April 2022.

Retail sales, Home Depot earnings in focus

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to pause its rate-hiking cycle in September at its next policy meeting, but there continues to be debate about whether July's rate increase would be the final one.

The latest U.S. retail sales data, for July, rose more than expected and could be a factor in the Fed's next move. The yearly reading was up 3.17% versus expectations for a gain of 1.5%, while the monthly gain was 0.7% versus expectations for 0.4%. The reading matches the trend of a resilient consumer even in the face of rising rates though the Fed may decide it has more work to do to calm inflation.

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There are also earnings reports from a number of top retailers due this week, starting with Home Depot (NYSE:HD), which beat expectations on profit but posted a dip in same store sales. The report could firm up expectations on consumer spending trends heading into the crucial holiday sales months this fall. Home Depot shares rose 0.3%.

Despite the dip, the home improvement retailer reported a smaller-than-expected decline in quarterly same-store sales, as demand was buoyed by Americans spending on small-scale home-improvement projects amid signs of stabilization in the housing market. It also announced a $15 billion stock buyback plan.

Tesla launches cheaper versions in the U.S.

Elsewhere, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) will be in focus after the electric vehicle manufacturer launched two cheaper versions of its Model S sedan and Model X SUV in the U.S. with shorter driving ranges.

Homebuilders D.R. Horton (NYSE:DHI) and Lennar (NYSE:LEN) both gained after Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRKa) revealed new positions in the stocks, while Discover Financial (NYSE:DFS) slumped 10% after the announcement of the resignation of its chief executive.

Crude retreats as China’s economic growth slows

Crude prices fell Tuesday, after weak industrial production and retail sales data in China showed that growth in the second-largest economy in the world slowed further last month, likely reducing demand for crude.

Attention will turn to the U.S. market, with the release of inventory data from the industry group American Petroleum Institute later in the session, as a precursor to official inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration on Wednesday.

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(Peter Nurse and Oliver Gray contributed to this item.)

Latest comments

Good retail sales and the stock market tanks. Makes perfect sense. Bizzaro Jerry
The official statistics are cooked, while the market analysts are propaganda workers. Get used to the new world, if you wish to make money here.
Trump and his retrumplicans have been Kremlin's/CCP's "propaganda workers".
yep, they are all lying, all the time, except trump, he always tells the truth...
we worship the orange god, free from all sin, innocent of all crimes, the one who has never lied.. hail trump!
after so many months, it's still about interest rates. no other subject on the table. what a country to spend the rest of the life ?
wtf you're talking. It was always about interest rates and will be.
What other countries would you go to where it's not about interest rates?
 I would go to Atlantis
Want to report on what the P/E of stocks like AMZN are compared to 10 years ago?
Fake data.
You know this how?
Stronger than expected retail sales are the basis for future earnings... better than expected.
"Bidenomics", economic policies so terrible that the US debt rating has been decreased for the first time in US history, with US interest payments on its debt almost exceeding the entire national military budget.
Higher retail sales reflect the ongoing inflation. Higher prices....higher sales.Not a positive indicator.
% rise in retail sales > % rise in CPI
permabears been trying to convince us the big crash is happening tomorrow, every day for more than a year now..
  I'm not shocked when a broken clock is right twice a day.  I'm shocked that anyone finds this clock useful.
matt the economy has proven remarkably resilient, inflation is coming down every month, meaning fed will soon pause strong labour market, better than expected earnings, wages up, energy prices down (on average). this all points towards a soft landing. mind you, a soft landing is still a landing, and will not be entirely painless.
..and today's numbers show people still have money to spend..
permabulls still think everyrhing is fine
The magic line drawn at 35K.  What a flagrantly manipulated JOKE.
"Bidenomics", the U.S. Now Has: 1. Record $17.1 trillion in household debt 2. Record $12.0 trillion in mortgages 3. Record $1.6 trillion in auto loans 4. Record $1.6 trillion in student loans 5. Record $1.0 trillion in credit card debt Total mortgage debt is now more than double the 2006 peak. Meanwhile, 36% of Americans have more credit card debt than savings while student loan payments are set to resume for the first time since 2020. This is all while mortgage rates just hit 7.1% and credit card debt rates hit a record 25%. We are "fighting" inflation with debt.
Bidenomics are working. we're coming in for a soft landing. 2024 looking up!
People have more money to give companies so same companies plummet in value. I love this market.
2020 here we come
End of month July 2000
 didn't Jared Kushner predicted early in the pandemic that by July the economy would be rocking again?  he didn't specify he meant July 2020 though
OMG...... where's AI magic bullish wand?
NVDA is currently trading at a P/E of 408.55.  10 years ago it was trading at a P/E of 18.53. That is over 2200% increase in P/E. There is no added value in this market, just added valuation. Valuations have not been this high since the 2000 com crash. There will be nothing to save this market when they pull the plug on these massive valuations.
3MO yield almost 5.5%. Strong retail points to 2 more 25bps interest rate increases this year pushing the terminal rate to 6%. It may not be enough.
No more hikes you're in dreamland
Why not? Data isn't good for a pause or cut.
It would have been recession fears if retail sales were low
THEY just try to make excuses for falling.
great comment
Don't worry! We have Automatic Image.
Tesla long term
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